West Bengal (WB) Assembly Election 2021 Exit Poll: Exit polls for West Bengal are now out and numbers suggest that the fight is very close. Some have predicted win for the BJP while some have favoured the ruling TMC. The poll of polls put the TMC ahead of the BJP. However, India Today-Axis My Nation polls have put BJP ahead of TMC. According to India Today, the saffron party may get 134-160 and TMC can win 130-156 seats.
According to Republic-CNX, the TMC is projected to get 128-138 seats while the BJP is expected to get 138-148 seats. The Left is expected to get 11-21 seats. Jan Ki Baat has predicted 174 seats for the BJP. But others have projected edge for Mamata Banerjee. Surveys show the BJP will cross 100-mark but might be restricted under 125.
While three major alliances are in the fray, the fight is largely between the BJP and Trinamool Congress of Mamata Banerjee. The BJP leaders are confident of removing Mamata by winning over 200 seats, whereas the Trinamool Congress is hoping to sail through the anti incumbency wave. In this election, the biggest battle ground is Nandigram, where Mamata Banerjee is taking on her former cabinet colleague Suvendu Adhikari.
In 2011, the TMC came to power in the state by ending the 34-year rule of the Left government. Till 2016, Mamata’s party was firmly in control in the state but situation changed in the 2019 Lok Sabha election, in which the saffron party emerged the second largest party with over 40 per cent vote share and 18 of 42 seats.
In 2016, the TMC had got 211 seats with nearly 45 per cent votes. In that election, the Congress came at the second position with over 12 per cent vote share. The Left got 19.75 per cent vote share but just 26 seats, 14 less than what it got in 2011. The BJP in this election had got just three seats with over 10 per cent vote share.
Exit Polls 2021: The BJP may win Bengal, as per India Today-Axis My India surevy.
BJP: 134-160
TMC: 130-156
Left: 0-2
64 seats where margin is less than two per cent
India Today-Axis My India Poll region-wise predictions
Presidency (108 seats)
TMC - 75, 46 per cent votes
BJP - 34, 41 per cent votes
Left - 1, 10 per cent votes
Jalpaigudi (North Bengal) (27 seats)
TMC - 00, 35 per cent votes
BJP - 27, 54 per cent votes
Medinipur (56 seats)
TMC: 21, 43 per cent votes
BJP: 34, 46 per cent votes
Left: 00, 09 per cent votes
Burdhwan (54 seats)
TMC: 18, 43 per cent votes
BJP: 36, 45 per cent votes
Left: 00, 10 per cent votes
Malda (47)
TMC: 31, 49 per cent votes
BJP: 16, 35 per cent votes
Left: 00, 17 per cent votes
Prediction for Malda region (47)
TMC: 31, 49 per cent votes
BJP: 16, 35 per cent votes
Left: 00, 17 per cent votes
Burdhwan (54 seats)
TMC: 18, 43 per cent votes
BJP: 36, 45 per cent votes
Left: 00, 10 per cent votes
Medinipur (56 seats)
TMC: 21, 43 per cent votes
BJP: 34, 46 per cent votes
Left: 00, 09 per cent votes
India Today-Axis My India Poll region-wise predictions
Presidency (108 seats)
TMC - 75, 46 per cent votes
BJP - 34, 41 per cent votes
Left - 1, 10 per cent votes
Jalpaigudi (North Bengal) (27 seats)
TMC - 00, 35 per cent votes
BJP - 27, 54 per cent votes
West Bengal Exit Polls: ABP C-Voter is predicting edge for the TMC in Bengal. The BJP is projected to get between 109-121 of 294 seats. A party needs 148 seats to secure majority.
TMC: 152-164
BJP: 109-121
Left: 14-25
West Bengal
Times Now -C Voter
BJP-115
TMC-158
Left-19
P-Marq
BJP-120
TMC-158
Left-14
CNX Republic
BJP-143
TMC-133
Left-16
Jan Ki Baat
BJP-174
TMC-112
Left-6
Times Now-C Voter predicts win for TMC
TMC - 158
BJP - 115
Left - 19
Marginal seats - 96
Republic CNX Exit poll predicts very close fight in Benga.
West Bengal Exit Polls: 128-138 (TMC), 138-148 (BJP), Left 11-21
West Bengal elections: 76.07 per cent voter turnout was recorded till 5 pm in 35 assembly constituencies where polling is underway in eighth and final phase. Exit polls will be out once the election is officially over. Bengal is expeced to have bipolar contest between the BJP and TMC of Mamata Baerjee.