India is likely to witness above-normal monsoon rainfall in June, receiving around 108% of the long-period average (LPA), according to the India Meteorological Department (IMD). The overall monsoon season is likely to deliver 106% of the LPA of 87 cm, the forecast indicates. At a press briefing, M Ravichandran, Secretary in the Ministry of Earth Sciences, highlighted that the monsoon core zone—which includes parts of Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Maharashtra, Odisha, and their surrounding areas—will see above-normal rainfall, which is crucial for the agriculture sector. IMD Director General Mrutyunjay Mohapatra noted that while central and south peninsular India are also expected to receive above-normal rainfall, northwest India will likely see normal precipitation and the Northeast may experience below-normal rains.
Early monsoon onset across regions
The early onset of the monsoon has already been observed in many parts of the country. For Telangana, the southwest monsoon arrived ten days ahead of time on May 26, the earliest in ten years. Likewise, Mumbai is preparing for its earliest start to the monsoon, potentially surpassing the previous record of 1956.
In Gurugram, the IMD predicts light to moderate rain, thunderstorms, and gusty winds from May 26 to May 30, with May 28, 31, and June 1 experiencing more activity. Isolated areas are likely to experience wind speeds of 40–50 km/h on May 29 and 30, with widespread rainfall.
Good news for agriculture sector
An above-average monsoon is important for India’s agriculture-based economy. An adequate amount of rainfall helps in sowing Kharif crops and filling water reservoirs, which is important for agriculture and generating hydroelectric power. IMD’s previous prediction of 105% of the LPA for the entire monsoon period (June to September) further bolsters expectations for a strong farm output.
However, the IMD has issued red alerts for Kerala and Karnataka due to intensified monsoon activity, indicating the need for preparedness against potential flooding and related disruptions.
Though the onset and above-normal monsoon brings optimism for agriculture and water supplies, it also calls for caution against extreme weather outbreaks. Residents and authorities should remain alert to IMD advisories and exercise caution during the period of escalated monsoon activity.
(With inputs from PTI)