Several exit polls released Wednesday gave a clear advantage to the BJP-led Mahayuti alliance in Maharashtra, while some forecasted a potential win for the Maha Vikas Aghadi (MVA) coalition.
The exit polls, published shortly after polling ended at 6 PM, predicted a victory for the BJP-led Mahayuti government in the state. With 145 seats required for a majority in the 288-member Maharashtra Assembly, the current government is a coalition of the BJP, Shiv Sena (Eknath Shinde faction), and NCP (Ajit Pawar).
The Matrize exit poll, conducted in collaboration with multiple news organisations, predicted 150-170 seats for the BJP alliance, with a 48% vote share. In contrast, the Congress-led MVA was projected to secure 110-130 seats and a 42% vote share, while others were expected to win 8-10 seats, with a 10% vote share.
Maharashtra Exit Poll Predictions 2024
| Source | Mahayuti | MVA | Others |
| P-MARQ | 137-157 | 126-146 | 02-08 |
| Matrize | 150-170 | 110-130 | 8-10 |
| Chanakya | 152-160 | 130-138 | 6-8 |
| People’s Pulse | 175-195 | 85-112 | 7-12 |
| Lokshahi-Marathi Rudra | 128-142 | 125-140 | 18-23 |
| Dainik Bhaskar | 125-140 | 135-150 | 20-25 |
| Electoral Edge | 118 | 150 | 20 |
People’s Pulse, another pollster, gave the Mahayuti alliance 175-195 seats, while MVA was expected to win 85-112 seats and others 7-12 seats.
The P-MARQ exit poll placed the BJP alliance at 137-157 seats, with MVA at 126-146 seats and others securing 2-8 seats. Electoral Edge predicted MVA to win 150 seats, while Mahayuti was estimated to secure 121 seats, with 20 seats going to others.
Poll Diary forecasted a win for the NDA with 122-186 seats, while MVA was expected to win 69-121 seats, and others were predicted to secure 12-29 seats. Chanakya Strategies, another exit poll, projected 152-160 seats for Mahayuti, with 130-138 seats for MVA and 6-8 seats for others.
Lokshahi Rudra indicated a close contest, with Mahayuti expected to win 128-142 seats and MVA 125-140 seats. Others were estimated to win 18-23 seats.
The Lokpoll exit poll gave Mahayuti 115-128 seats, with a 37-40% vote share, while forecasting MVA to win 151-162 seats, with a 43-46% vote share. It predicted 5-14 seats for others, with a 16-19% vote share.
Altogether 58.43 per cent voters exercised their franchise Wednesday in the assembly elections in Maharashtra. The figures are provisional, according to ECI data. Voting began in all the 288 assembly seats at 7 am and ended at 6 pm. The results will be counted on November 23.