Chhattisgarh Assembly election results: The biggest impact may come in the form of the Ajit Jogi-Mayawati alliance.
Chhattisgarh Assembly election results: It’s just one day to go for the counting and announcement of crucial results of Chhattisgarh Assembly polls. With most of the exit polls predicting close battle between BJP and Congress, the intense political fight is on between the two national parties. Chhattisgarh has been a BJP bastion for the last 15 years. In all these years, only two national parties dominated the political space in the state. But that changed in this assembly elections with the entry of former Chief Minister Ajit Jogi in alliance with Mayawati’s BSP. However, the exit poll numbers show that the alliance may not change much on the ground.
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According to the exit polls conducted by various channels, the Congress appears to be putting up a tough fight to the ruling saffron party. According to the exit polls, the BJP and Congress are in a close contest in Chhattisgarh. Out of seven poll surveys, four favoured the saffron party, while three for the Congress.
Previous Lok Sabha and Assembly polls
In Chhattisgarh, BJP has won 49 assembly seats in 2013 and Congress had bagged 39 seats in previous polls. Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) and Independents won one seat each. In 2008 Assembly polls, BJP won 50 seats, Congress bagged 38 and BSP got 2 seats. In 2003, BJP got 50 assembly seats, Congress bagged 37 seats, BSP got 2 seats and NCP got one. In 2014 Lok Sabha polls, BJP swept the state by winning 10 out of 11 Lok Sabha seats. Congress got 1 seat. In 2009 Lok Sabha polls, BJP won 10 seats out of 11 and Congress won 1.
Major issues and deciding factors
The biggest impact may come in the form of the Ajit Jogi-Mayawati alliance. Jogi floated his own party named Janata Congress Chhattisgarh (JCC). Raman Singh has himself cautioned saying the alliance cannot be ignored. Singh has said that BSP commands a 4-5 per cent vote share, Jogi has 2-3 per cent votes. He predicted that the alliance may become a deciding factor in at least 30 assembly constituencies. Congress is also aware of the Jogi threat, and has termed this alliance as the B-team of BJP. In Chhattisgarh, the margin of vote share remains very nominal, so any shift may deal a body blow to either Congress or the BJP.
Other issues like anti-incumbency factor and voters fatigue may also prove to be decisive for the Raman Singh government. Congress president Rahul Gandhi has already announced that if Congress comes to power, it will waive off loans within 10 days. To counter this, Singh, who is seen as “Chawal-wale Baba” and a pro-farmer CM, has projected his government’s work on roads, electricity, railways, internet and air connectivity.
Times Now-Warroom Strategies has predicted that BJP will win 47 seats out of 90 assembly constituencies. Congress will get 33 seats and others to bag 10. According to News Nation, BJP will get 46, Congress will win 39 and others will bag 5 seats. India TV-CNX predicts BJP will win 50, Congress will get 30 seats and others will get 10 Assembly constituencies. According to ABP News-CSDS BJP will get 56 seats, Congress will 25 seats and others will win 4 seats.