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Richard Iley

Articles By Richard Iley

10 Articles

Next move in the RBI repo rate will not be down, but up; here’s why

Most economists’ forecasts for RBI have not just been wrong, but egregiously so, for the last six months.

RBI credit policy 2016: ‘Urjit Patel right, demonetisation does not warrant a policy response’

RBI surprised many in the markets, but not us, by deciding to keep its key policy rate unchanged. Increased global uncertainty was cited as a key factor alongside concerns over the stickiness of both food and core inflation g

RBI Governor Urjit Patel breaks with Raghuram Rajan era? Find out here

The Reserve Bank of India's (RBI's) new monetary policy regime has got off to a dovish start by trimming policy rates by 25bps in its first meeting.

When will ‘space’ for final RBI rate cut open? Find out here

Outgoing RBI governor Raghuram Rajan’s final policy review had a mildly hawkish hue with the perceived upward tilt to inflation risks retained

rbi policy, rbi monetary policy, rbi emi, rbi rate cut, rajan rbi policy, monetary policy

RBI monetary policy review: Here’s what further rate cut hinges on

RBI chimed a relatively hawkish note following its latest policy review, underscoring our view that, while a final 25bps rate cut this cycle...

RBI monetary policy review: Here’s what further rate cut hinges on

Budget 2016: Room for Rate cut likely

A 25 bps cut is most likely, but a more impactful 50 bps cut cannot be completely ruled out

Budget 2016: Room for Rate cut likely

Column: More pain for emerging markets

India’s ‘policy space’, however, is expanded by commodity deflation, in contrast to most other EMEs

Column: More pain for emerging markets

Column: Déjà vu all over again?

The largely synchronised nature of the deceleration across the EM universe suggests common shocks

Column: Déjà vu all over again?

Column | India: Ready to lead?

While India’s growth rate shoots past China’s, it cannot offset peaking Chinese demand for industrial commodities

economic growth

Column: Going for growth

The finance minister has delivered a mildly expansionary, business-friendly Budget that prioritises a return to 8-8.5% GDP growth in FY16 via a mix of tax reform and accelerated capital spending, particularly on infrastructur

Column: Going for growth
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