Madhya Pradesh exit polls 2023: Poll surveys predict neck-and-neck battle between BJP, Congress

Madhya Pradesh Assembly Election 2023 Exit Polls 2023: Who will win heart of India? Will it be yet another innings for ‘Mama’ Shivraj Singh Chouhan or Kamal Nath will make a comeback? If one goes by the exit poll results, Madhya Pradesh, the Hindi-heartland, is likely to witness a close battle between the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and the Indian National Congress (INC). None of the exit polls have predicted a clear win for either of these parties. While some poll surveys like India Today-Axis My India and Republic P-MARQ predict a second term for the BJP, other surveys such as TV9 Bharatvarsh-Polstrat and Times Now-ETG have predicted a win for the Grand Old Party.

As Assembly elections come to an end in five states – Rajasthan, Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, Telangana and Mizoram – the whole focus ahead of the D-day remains on the exit polls predictions. Madhya Pradesh voted on November 17 in a single phase. The exit polls say that it will be a close contest between the BJP and the Congress.

The best way to predict the winning party is through exit polls prediction. However, exit polls can vary and don’t guarantee absolute wins. Here are some of the popular predictions of 2023 Assembly elections:

The strongest prediction has been produced by India Today, which is sourced by Axis My India as it envisioned the win of BJP with majority of wins over Congress party. Axis My India has expected BJP to secure around 140 to 162 seats out of 230 seats, while Congress is predicted to secure 68 to 90 seats approximately.

The Republic TV predicted the domination of BJP as it is likely to secure 118 to 130 seats out of 230 total seats in Madhya Pradesh, while Congress party is predicted to secure 97 to 107 seats. Other than these, it is predicted 0 to 2 seats might be secured by other regional or national parties. The predictions are sourced by P-MARQ.

Similarly, News24-Chanakya predictions showed a likely win for the BJP with a projected seat share of over 150 and Congress likely to secure 74 seats in MP. Other candidates are expected to win 5 to 6 seats.

Other sources have predicted the win of Congress over the BJP as the poll survey by Times Now-ETG has projected marginal win for the Congress party. It is expected to secure 109 to 125 seats while the BJP is likely to win 105 to 117 seats. Other independent candidates are most likely to secure around 5 seats in total.

In the similar predictions, TV9 Bharatvarsh – Polstrat has predicted the win for Congress as it is likely to bag 111 to 121 seats and BJP is likely to secure 106 to 116 seats in MP. Other independent candidates are likely to win around 6 seats.

The ABP-CVoter has predicted a win for the Congress party as it is likely to bag around 113 to 137 seats. On the other hand, as per CVoter, BJP is likely to win 88 to 112 seats. The remaining seats are expected to be clinched by the independent candidates.

Whether BJP will retain power or will Congress make a comeback remains to be seen as the Assembly elections outcome will become declared on December 3 after the vote counting is completed.