Assembly Elections Exit Poll Results 2023 Highlights: The exit poll predictions for the Assembly elections 2023 held in 5 states – Telangana, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Mizoram are being declared on Thursday. Most exit polls have predicted a close contest in Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Chhattisgarh and Telangana while Mizoram appears to be heading towards a high Assembly. According to the IndiaToday MyAxis survey, the Bharatiya Janata Party is likely to face an upset in Rajasthan while 4 other surveys have predicted a win for the BJP. The Congress is seen ahead in Telangana Chhattisgarh although the contest may be too close to call. Most exit polls so far have drawn a level playing field, suggesting that the results may be too close to call for either side in any state.
Also Read: Assembly Elections 2023 Time: When will Rajasthan, MP, Chhattisgarh exit poll results be declared?
these are not the final numbers and the final results will be declared only by the Election Commission of India on December 3 when the counting of votes is taken up. The Exit Polls, however, can help gauge the mood of the electorate in each state before the results are announced. Exit polls will be aired on India Today, ABP, Times Now, Republic TV, News 24, India TV, among others. The survey agencies involved include Axis MyIndia, Jan Ki Baat, CNX, CVoter, Today’s Chanakya, Matrize
Assembly Election Exit Poll Results 2023 LIVE Updates: Get real-time details on poll predictions on Telangana, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Mizoram Assembly Election 2023. The final results will be declared on December 3 by the Election Commission of India.
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The India Today Axis My India exit poll has predicted 152 seats to BJP and 76 to Congress while Others are expected to win 2 seats. There are 230 seats in MP and the majority mark is 116.
Most exit polls have predicted a neck-and-neck fight in Chhattisgarh with a slight edge to Congress. As per the India Today-AxisMyIndia Exit Poll, the Congress is likely to garner a vote share of 42 per cent while the BJP may poll 41 per cent votes.
The India Today-AxisMyIndia exit poll has predicted a majority for the Congress in Rajasthan, suggesting Ashok Gehlot's return as CM for a second term, a first for the state in three decades. According to the Exit Poll, BJP is likely to gain 80-100 seats, Congress 86-106 seats and Others 9-18 seats.
The India Today-Axis MYIndia exit poll has predicted a majority for the Congress in Chhattisgarh. As per the exit poll, the Congress is likely to retain power with 40-50 seats while the BJP may settle at 36-46 seats. Others are predicted to win 1-5 seats in the 90-member Assembly.
Two exit polls so far suggest neither of the two primary contenders -- the ZPM or the MNF -- are likely to gain a majority in the 40-member Assembly.
Exit poll predictions so far suggest a close fight in Madhya Pradesh and Telangana. The BJP is seen having a clear lead in Rajasthan while the Congress has the edge in Chhattisgarh.
As per the Matrize Exit Poll, the Bharatiya Janata Party is predicted to win 118-130 seats while Congress is expected to shore up 97-107 seats and Others 0-2.
According to Jan Ki Baat, BJP is likely to secure 100-123 seats in Madhya Pradesh while Congress will get 102-125 seats.
According to Jan Ki Baat exit poll survey, BJP is likely to win Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan while the Congress is predicted to win Chhattisgarh and is ahead in Telangana.
Voting in Telangana is in its final leg and is likely to conclude shortly. The voter turnout recorded in Telangana till 3 PM was 51.89 per cent. The voter turnout recorded in the 2018 elections was 73.74 per cent.
The Sachin Pilot issue has been the most visible issue that has plagued the Congress since it came to power in 2018. From his claim to the CM's throne to his rebellion that almost brought down the Gehlot government, to his protest march against inaction by the Gehlot government on acts of corruption during Vasundhara Raje's rule, Pilot has been behind the biggest challenges the Gehlot government has faced in Rajasthan. The length of his truce with Gehlot, brokered by the Congress, is what the results will put to test.
The exit poll results can be viewed on television channels that have tied up with survey agencies for the purpose. The channels will begin airing poll predictions soon after polling concludes in Telangana. The exit polls are likely to be aired starting 6 PM on Thursday, November 30.
Prime Minister Narendra Modi has canvassed heavily in the poll states and his role becomes increasingly crucial in view of the BJP not announcing CM faces in key states like MP, Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh. A poor performance by the BJP will be seen as a dent to PM Modi since the party has gone all-out seeking votes in the PM's name.
The election results to the five states where polling has been held will be crucial in setting the tone for the Lok Sabha elections expected to be held in March-April 2024. The 2018 Assembly elections proved to be a debacle for the BJP in the Hindi heartland states and a repeat of the same outcome will pose numerous challenges for the BJP in the general elections.
As we await the exit poll predictions to be revealed, Rajasthan Chief Minister Ashok Gehlot has claimed that the BJP was set to lose in all five states that went to polls. "No matter what exit polls say, Congress will form the government in Rajasthan. BJP is not winning in any of the 5 states," the Rajasthan CM said on Thursday.
Voting has entered the final hour in Telangana with the exercise set to conclude at 5 PM. The state recorded a turnout of 51.89 per cent till 3 PM.
Chhattisgarh Chief Minister Bhupesh Baghel is often credited with rebuilding the state unit of the party following the ghastly Naxal attacks that virtually wiped off the entire top leadership of the party's state unit. Having led Congress to a decisive win in the 2018 elections, the Chief Minister is now eying a second straight term in office. Can BJP stage an upset?
Voting is underway in Telangana where 119 Assembly seats witnessed a terse three-cornered battle between the BRS, Congress and the BJP. The Congress is hoping to turn the tide against the BRS while KCR is confident his work as Chief Minister will see him through. The support of Asaduddin Owaisi's AIMIM is expected to shore up additional seats for the ruling party. Can the Congress turn the tide in this mega battle?
Shivraj Singh Chouhan, who returned to power in March 2020 for a fourth successive term, is facing his most decisive election ever. With the BJP stopping short of naming him as the chief ministerial candidate, Chouhan is virtually fighting a battle for existence. Can Chouhan's appeal and connect with voters help him tide over this challenge?
Catch MP Election Exit Poll LIVE Updates here.
Rajasthan Chief Minister Ashok Gehlot has led an aggressive campaign with the aim to ensure the return of the Congress government to power. The BJP, on the other hand, is banking on the state's three-decade-long tradition of alternating between Congress and BJP government every election.
Can Gehlot buck the trend? Catch Rajasthan EXIT POLL Live Updates here.
Survey agencies adopt different methods to gauge the mood of the electorate during and before the elections. While opinion polls are conducted before the elections are conducted, exit polls are carried out immediately after a voter has cast her/his vote. Opinion polls usually revolve around the issues and factors playing in the voter's mind ahead of voting, exit polls specifically consider the party a particular party a voter has voted for.
Exit polls are conducted by professional survey agencies whose agents interview voters after they have cast their ballot in order to gauge the people's mood. The data is then collated to offer an estimate of the number of seats each party could win in a particular seat and state. Since the questions are asked when voters are exiting the booth, it is called an 'exit' poll.
The Congress, which won the MP elections in 2018, was dislodged from power following the rebellion by Jyotiraditya Scindia and his loyalist MPs. Kamal Nath, who was forced to step down as Chief Minister, will be looking to settle the score in the 2023 election results.
The Congress came to power in Rajasthan, defeating the ruling BJP, and in keeping with the tradition of the state that has traditionally alternated between the two primary opponents in the state. In the 2018 Assembly elections, Congress bagged 100 of the 200 Assembly seats in the state, falling 1 seat short of a majority. The BJP, on the other hand, bagged 73 seats, much lower than its 2013 tally of 163 when it won an absolute majority in the state. The Congress later formed government with the support of Independent MLAs.
Much is at stake for the ruling BJP at the Centre in the elections. The BJP, which draws a majority of its strength from the Hindi heartland, lost Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Rajasthan to Congress, and will be looking to reverse its fortunes in these states. Despite its loss in Karnataka -- where the BJP decided against naming a CM face -- the party has decided to adopt the same formula in the five poll-bound states. One will need to wait and watch if the strategy pays off or adds to BJP's woes ahead of the Lok Sabha elections.