Real estate has emerged as a “popular hedge” against inflation, says a report. Real estate investments can generate rental income, which potentially grows over time in response to inflation, ANAROCK research has said in its report.

On how residential real estate investments can help retail investors against high inflation, it said that as the cost of living rises, landlords typically adjust rental rates. Also, investors can leverage their real estate assets to borrow funds for further real estate acquisitions, the report added.

Residential real estate prices have risen continuously since 2013, and in the last two years, appreciated at a CAGR of 13% while CPI inflation moderated by 1.3% on an annual average basis to 5.4% at the end of FY24, the report says, adding that the trend signifies a clear outperformance of real estate prices compared to inflation.

“Inflation, the gradual increase in the general prices of goods and services, erodes the purchasing power of money over time. For investors seeking to preserve and grow their wealth amidst inflationary pressures, real estate has emerged as a popular hedge against this dreaded but inevitable dynamic,” says ANAROCK research.

Shobhit Agarwal, MD & CEO – ANAROCK Capital, says, “After the 2019 elections, average residential prices across the top 7 cities have appreciated at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 6% – rising from Rs 5,600 per sq.ft. in June 2019 to Rs 7,550 per sq.ft. by the end of FY 2024. A similar trend was witnessed in relation to the 2014 elections. Average prices across the top 7 cities saw an annual rise of over 6% in 2014 when compared to the preceding year – from Rs 4,895 per sq.ft in 2013 to Rs 5,168 per sq.ft. in 2014.”

Conversely, before the 2019 elections, average prices rose by a mere 1% annually, and remained rangebound during the tenure.

Supply–Demand Dynamics

In the last decade, there were periods when the supply of real estate exceeded demand, resulting in stable price growth that kept pace with inflation in the pre-pandemic era. Between 2013-2020, the top 7 cities recorded a cumulative supply of 23.55 lakh units against a demand for 20.68 lakh units, the report says.

Gradually, demand rose in tandem with new supply. Available inventory peaked at approx. 8 lakh units by the end of 2016. However, following the pandemic, residential real estate saw rapid recover, leading to significant price growth that has outpaced general inflation, as per the ANAROCK research report.

Real Estate – A Hedge Against Inflation

Steady population growth coupled with urbanization consistently fuels housing demand. As more people migrate to cities for better opportunities, rising residential demand exerts upward pressure on prices, it says.

“Moreover, real estate investments can generate rental income, which potentially grows over time in response to inflation. As the cost of living rises, landlords typically adjust rental rates. Also, investors can leverage their real estate assets to borrow funds for further real estate acquisitions,” according to the report.

“During inflationary periods, the cost of borrowing (interest rates) typically rises. However, investors who have secured fixed-rate financing before inflationary pressures set in can benefit from lower borrowing costs in real terms, enhancing the profitability of real estate investments,” it adds.