J&K exit poll predictions: The Congress-National Conference alliance is headed for a tough competition from the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in Jammu and Kashmir but is predicted to have an edge with at least three pollsters projecting at least 35-40 seats for the alliance. However, no pollster has predicted a clear majority for any party.
Dainik Bhaskar, India Today – C Voter and Peoples Pulse have given an edge to the Congress-NC alliance and have predicted between 35-50 seats for it in J&K, where elections have been conducted after almost a decade. The majority mark in the 90-member Assembly in 46. The counting of votes will take place on October 8 and the results will be announced subsequently.
According to the exit poll predictions of Peoples Pulse, the Congress and National Conference alliance is likely to win 46-50 seats in Jammu and Kashmir. Meanwhile, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is expected to win 23-27 seats out of 90 seats in J&K.
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The BJP is predicted to win 20-25 seats while the Congress-NC alliance is expected to emerge victorious on 35-40 seats, according to the Dainik Bhaskar post-poll study.
And even though the India Today-C Voter pollster has predicted an edge for the BJP in the Jammu region, which has a seat share of 43, its overall prediction shows an edge for the Congress-NC alliance in the union territory. It has predicted that the BJP will win 27-31 seats and the Congress-NC alliance is likely to 11-15 seats. Meanwhile, only 0-2 seats have been predicted for the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP).
C Voter’s prediction for Jammu and Kashmir region combined has given an edge to the Congress-NC alliance which is expected to win 40-48 seats while the BJP is expected to win 27-32 seats. The PDP is likely to win 6-12 seats.
The Axis My India has predicted 35-45 seats for the Congress-National Conference alliance in Jammu and Kashmir. It has predicted 24-34 seats for the BJP, 4-6 for PDP and 8-23 seats for Independents.
According to exit poll predictions of Republic-Gulistan News, BJP and NC are headed for a tie in J&K with each party expected to clinch 28-30 seats. Meanwhile, the PDP is likely to win 5-7 seats. The pollster predicts 3-6 seats for the Congress.
Most of the pollsters have predicted disadvantage for Mehbooba Mufti’s Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), which had won the maximum seats during the 2014 Assembly elections.
The Jammu and Kashmir Assembly elections, which were held over three phases on September 18, September 25 and October 1, were conducted after a gap of 10 years. The first phase saw a voter turnout of 61.38% while the second phase saw a turnout of 57.31%. The third and final phase saw 65.48% voting on October 1.
The election in J&K have also assumed significance as it was the first polls since the abrogation of Article 370 in August 2019, which bifurcated the erstwhile state into the Union Territories of Jammu and Kashmir and Ladakh.