West Bengal, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Assam, Puducherry Assembly Election Exit Poll Results 2021 Highlights: Exit poll numbers for five states that went to polls in March and April have been released today 7PM. Surveys show BJP is likely to win in Assam, while Mamata Banerjee-led TMC may retain power in West Bengal. ABP C-Voter exit poll has predicted that TMC likely to win in West Bengal. Republic TV-CNX West Bengal survey shows there might not be a clear winner in West Bengal. Most of the surveys show that the DMK may return to power.
Assam, West Bengal, Kerala, Tamil Nadu and Union Territory of Puducherry went to polls together in the month of March-April. The last phase of polling took place in West Bengal today. Of the five states, the BJP is in direct contest in two – Assam and West Bengal. While the saffron party is hoping to retain Assam, it is eying power in Bengal for the first time in what is the birthplace of its founder Syama Prasad Mukherjee. Mukherjee was the founder of Jan Sangh, which later became the BJP. In Tamil Nadu, the DMK is looking to remove the AIADMK from power after 10 years. Opinion polls have predicted a big lead for MK Stalin’s party against the AIADMK, which is in alliance with the BJP. Kerala, too, will have a bipolar contest between the ruling Left and Congress but the BJP is trying to expand its footprint here. The Union Territory of Puducherry is expected to see a change of guard with the NDA appearing to be ahead of the Congress.
Republic-CNX voter survey has predicted BJP-led NDA's win in the 30 seats Puducherry Assembly. NDA may win 16-20 seats, while Congress-led SDA is expected to win in 11-13 Assembly seats.
(Note: The majority mark in the Assembly is 16.)
According to the Republic-CNX survey,
NDA many win 16-20 seats
SDA may win 11-13 seats
According to ABP-C Voter survey, NDA may win 19-23 seats; SDA may win 6-10 seats; Others 1-2.
(Note: Majority mark in the 294-member West Bengal Assembly is 148)
According to ETG Research:
TMC-164-176; BJP-105-115; Congress-Left alliance-10-15
According to P-MARQ survey:
TMC-152-172; BJP-112-132; Congress-Left alliance-10-20
According to ABP C-Voter survey:
TMC: 152-164; BJP: 109-121; Congress-Left alliance : 14-25
According to CNN News18 survey
TMC-162; BJP-115; Congress-Left alliance-15
According to Republic TV-CNX survey
TMC-128-138; BJP-138-148; Congress-Left alliance-11-21
Here's what top surveys say about Tamil Nadu Assembly elections (Note: Majority mark in the 234-member Tamil Nadu Assembly is 118)
According to Republic TV-CNX survey
AIADMK alliance-58-68; DMK alliance-160-170; AMMK alliance-4-6
According to P-MARQ survey
AIADMK alliance-40-65; DMK alliance-165-190; AMMK alliance-1-3
Here's what top surveys say about Assam Assembly Election results. (Note: The majority mark in the 126-member Assam Assembly is 64).
According to the ABP-C Voter survey:
NDA: 58-71; Congress+: 53-66; Others: 0-5
According to the P-MARQ survey
BJP alliance-62-70; Congress alliance-56-64; Others-0-4
According to India Today-Axis My India survey
BJP alliance-75-85; Congress alliance-40-50; Others-1-4
According to Republic TV-CNX survey
BJP alliance-74-84; Congress alliance-40-50; Others-1-3
LDF is likely to cross the majority mark in the 140-member Assembly.
According o India Today-Axis My India:
LDF: 104-120
UDF: 20-36
NDA: 0-2
According to Republic-CNX
LDF: 72-80
UDF: 58-64
NDA: 1-5
Expected seat projections:
TMC: 128-138; BJP: 138-148
Congress-Left alliance: 11-21
Vote percentage in West bengal as per ABP C-Voter survey:
TMC: 42.1% votes ; 152-64 seats
BJP: 39% votes ; 109-21 seats
Congress+ : 15.4% votes ; 14-25 seats
According to India Today-Axis My India
BJP: 75-85
Congress: 40-50
Others: 1-4
Complete lockdown shall be enforced throughout Tamil Nadu on all Sundays but there would be no restriction on May 2, also a Sunday, for people connected to counting of votes including officials, candidates and counting agents, the government said on Thursday. Night curfew shall continue to be in place across the state from 10 pm to 4 am, a Government Order said, adding current curbs like bar on private and public transport during the curfew would also continue. Though a full lockdown shall be enforced on all Sundays without any relaxations, there shall be no restrictions for those connected to the vote counting exercise on May 2, a Sunday, the order said. PTI
Assam Assembly Election 2021: Majority of opinion polls have predicted edge for the BJP-led NDA over Congress-led UPA.
TV9 Bharatvarsh: 73 (NDA) 50 (UPA) 3 (others)
Times Now - C Voter: 65-73 (NDA) 52-60 (UPA)
ABP News - C Voter: 65-73 (NDA) 52-60 (UPA)
India News - Jan Ki Baat: 68-78 (NDA) 48-58 (UPA)
Exit Polls 2021: Experts say fight in Bengal is very close, difficult to predict as both the main parties BJP and TMC are confident of winning over 200 seats. Nandigram is going to be the biggest battleground in Bengal, where Mamata Banerjee is up against her former protege Suvendu Adhikari.