Today’s Chanakya 2025 Bihar Elections Exit Poll Released: Today’s Chanakya has released its Bihar Assembly Elections 2025 projections, offering a detailed look at seat, vote, and caste-wise trends. According to the analysis, the NDA is projected to secure 160 ± 12 seats, while the Mahagathbandhan may win 77 ± 12 seats. Other parties are expected to capture around 6 ± 3 seats.
In terms of vote share, the NDA leads with 44% ± 3%, followed by the Mahagathbandhan at 38% ± 3%, and others at 18% ± 3%. The projections indicate a clear advantage for NDA across most constituencies, though certain regions remain highly competitive.
Caste-wise trends show NDA strong among OBC/EBC voters (55% ± 3%) and SC voters (58% ± 3%), while the Mahagathbandhan dominates among Muslim voters (69% ± 3%), compared to NDA’s 12% ± 3%. Analysts note that these patterns could influence outcomes in key seats where community support plays a decisive role.
Overall, the projections suggest the NDA is likely to retain power, but the Mahagathbandhan’s stronghold among Muslim voters and other minorities could shape contests in crucial constituencies. The exit poll underlines a competitive electoral environment, highlighting that while NDA enjoys a broad base among backward and upper castes, Mahagathbandhan remains the preferred choice for several minority groups.