Understanding inflation now requires the broadening of the assessment of risk factors of domestic output gaps to global output gaps
Understanding inflation now requires the broadening of the assessment of risk factors of domestic output gaps to global output gaps
Transforming a zero-sum conflict of codependency into a positive-sum relationship of mutually beneficial interdependence is the only way to end…
America’s trade gaps have, in fact, been spawned by a chronic deficiency of domestic US saving, averaging just 1.9% over…
The taper tantrum of 2013 and the current travails of EMEs underscore the contagion of cross-market spillovers arising from QE
The us president’s fiscal and trade policies show no appreciation of the linkage between trade deficits and macroeconomic saving-investment imbalances.
There is a longstanding disconnect between bilateral and multilateral approaches to international economic problems.
In short, the USTR’s seemingly impressive Section 301 report is a biased political document that has further inflamed anti-China sentiment…
China will likely stay its current course. Normal leadership Succession or not, It can’t now turn Back from a transition…
The multilateral foreign-trade deficits of a saving-short US economy set the stage for perhaps the most egregious policy blunder being…
The Trump administration’s recent protectionist measures, aimed at china & South korea, can spark retaliatory measures that will only leave…
Real economies rest on asset prices distorted by the execssively accommodative policies of central bank; glacial normalisation only prolongs this…
Congressional Republicans’ proposed tax cuts—masquerading as tax reform—are no recipe to “make America great again”.
China’s principal contradiction—tension unbalanced & inadequate development and people’s need for a better life—flags what its long-term strategy is missing
Any action by the US against Chinese imports will effectively translate as a tax hike, and counter-measures by China will…
The Chinese economy is drawing support from strong sources of cyclical resilience in early 2017. The 11.3% y-o-y gain in…
Monetary accommodation set the stage for Japan’s demise; BoJ compounded the problem by embracing quantitative easing.
For the past seven years, I have taught a popular class at Yale, called “The Next China.”
While some healing of an $80 trillion global economy is now evident, progress needs to be seen through a different…