Exit Poll Results 2024 Highlights: Modi 3.0 a done deal; BJP poised to achieve ‘400 paar’ target, show exit polls

– NDA reclaiming its 2019 vote share in UP due to alliance with RLD.

– NDA to suffer loss in Purvanchal region Major loss of Jat votes in Haryana.

– AAP – Congress able to transfer their votes but unable to make inroads in BJP votes in Delhi.

– Congress to re-emerge as the largest party in Punjab, BJP may become 2nd largest party in terms of vote share in Punjab.

– Very close contest in Chandigarh.

School of Politics conducted CATI-based and AI-enabled opinion and exit polls. The sample size in each of the surveys is ~3000 per Lok Sabha summing up to close to 2 million samples across the country. The survey predicts around 367-403 seats for NDA, 129-161 seats for INDIA alliance and 7-18 seats for others.

According to Times Now-VMR poll in 2019, the NDA was predicted to win at least 306 seats while the UPA was expected to bag 132. The prediction was made with a margin of error of 3 for all projections.

The C-Voter Exit Polls in 2019 Lok Sabha elections had predicted a win for NDA with 287 seats, while the UPA was predicted to win only 128.

The India TV-CNX poll in 2019 had predicted 300 seats (plus or minus 10 seats) for the NDA and 120 seats (plus or minus 5) for the UPA.

Former CM and BJP leader Raman Singh has said that BJP is going to form the government with a clear majority and that the slogan of crossing 400-mark is going to become a reality on the ground.

Delhi CM Arvind Kejriwal, after the INDIA alliance meet, gave his prediction for the winners and losers of 18th Lok Sabha election results. He predicted INDIA Alliance to get 295+ seats and 220 seats for BJP. he further stated that the NDA alliance will get 235 seats. “INDIA alliance will form a strong and stable government on its own. (The PM face) will be decided on June 4,” he said.

After holding a meeting at his residence, Congress chief Mallikarjun Kharge expressed confidence in INDIA bloc winning the 18th Lok Sabha Elections 2024. “INDI alliance will win at least 295 seats,” Kharge said.

In 2019, India Today-Axis My India exit poll had predicted the NDA would win 339 to 365 seats and that UPA would win 77 to 108.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi has expressed optimism that the BJP would secure more than 370 seats in the Lok Sabha, while the NDA alliance would surpass the 400-mark in the 543-member parliament. Will this goal be reached? Follow this LIVE blog for the latest updates on exit poll predictions and 2024 election results.

Exit poll predictions for the 2024 Lok Sabha Elections will be made public after 6:30 pm. The Election Commission has banned the release of any exit poll data until 6:30 pm. These predictions can only be shared after the Lok Sabha Elections voting concludes at 6 pm today.

Following the INDIA alliance leaders’ gathering in Delhi, Samajwadi Party chief Akhilesh Yadav declared that in Uttar Pradesh, the BJP will lose all its seats, and the INDIA alliance will secure the majority of seats. He stated that there was a wave of unemployment, rising prices, GST, CBI, ED, and Income Tax. He further added that all of this will come to an end.

According to Bernstein Research’s recent India Strategy report, if the Bharatiya Janata Party-led NDA government secures approximately 330-350 seats in the current Lok Sabha elections, it could lead to a brief surge in stock markets, with the Nifty index surpassing the 23,000 mark after the elections. However, the report warns of a bleak outlook for the Indian economy and markets if the ruling NDA government does not secure a majority and return to power at the Centre.

The YSR Congress Party (YSRCP) and Chandrababu Naidu’s Telugu Desam Party (TDP) are engaged in a intense competition for control in the Andhra Pradesh assembly elections. Pollsters suggest that YSR Congress Party (YSRCP) leader YS Jagan Mohan Reddy is facing a challenging task of maintaining power in Andhra Pradesh.

In just an hour, television channels will start broadcasting exit poll results 2024. Stay tuned with us for real-time updates.

There are many factors that lead to inaccuracies in exit poll predictions. One reason is the assumption that people will truthfully share their preferences. However, this may not always be the case, as some people may mislead pollsters, and others may feel pressured to hide their honest opinions.

During the 2019 Lok Sabha election, News18’s IPSOS India conducted an exit poll survey that made nearly accurate predictions. They forecasted 336 seats for the NDA and 82 for the UPA. When the results were announced, the NDA secured 353 seats in the Lok Sabha, while the UPA managed only 91.

Many media outlets and political research organizations carry out exit polls by surveying voters outside polling stations. They ask voters about their chosen political party after they’ve voted in an election.

We’re just a few hours away from the 2024 exit poll predictions. Media outlets and pollsters are ready to unveil the eagerly anticipated exit poll results after 6:30 pm today.

The main point of the exit polls will be to figure out if the ruling BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) or the Opposition alliance INDIA (Indian National Developmental Inclusive Alliance) is expected to win.

Congress spokesperson Pawan Khera took a dig at Amit Shah today and wrote on X, “Amit Shah ji, you can celebrate the exit polls today, we will celebrate when the results come on the 4th.”

News 24 – Chanakya's prediction in 2019:

BJP: 300 ± 14 Seats

NDA: 350 ± 14 Seats

Congress: 55 ± 9 Seats

UPA: 95 ± 9 Seats

Others: 97 ± 11 Seats

Samajwadi Party president Akhilesh Yadav on May 31 took to X and urged the people to remain fully “alert, vigilant and cautious” during the voting today and also in the days after the voting. He asked the people not to get misled by the BJP. He said that BJP will get their ‘media group’ on various channels to say that the party has a lead with around 300 seats.

The exit poll results for 28 states and 8 union territories will be released after voting ends at 6:00 PM. You can follow the latest exit poll predictions and analysis with us here, along with extensive Lok Sabha election coverage.

In the last phase of the 2024 Lok Sabha election, veteran actor and TMC candidate from Asansol, Shatrughan Sinha, expressed confidence that the ‘INDIA bloc’ would win. On Saturday, Sinha dismissed the BJP‘s claim of winning 400 seats as false. He stressed that the election is about choosing between important issues (‘Mudda’) and Prime Minister Narendra Modi‘s track record (‘Modi’).

Since Congress has chosen not to participate in the exit polls debate today, the BJP has said that it shows they are already afraid of what’s coming on June 4th. Shehzad Poonawalla, spokesperson for the Bharatiya Janata Party, on X said that it’s another sign of Congress’ downfall. He said that they blame the EVMs and the Election Commission, then they blame the exit polls, and finally, they will blame the public. He stated that this attitude of Congress undermines every institution, including the media.