While the IMD has forecast below-normal rains this year — 93% of the long period average (LPA) — a poor monsoon seldom has any impact on the stock market. returns from the Sensex have been 30-80% in years of poor rains. The farm sector’s contribution to overall GDP has fallen. Of the 69% rural population and 58% households engaged in agriculture, only 40% depend on farming as the principal income source.

Also, the share of winter crops in total grain production has risen over time.

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