UP Bypolls Election Results 2024: The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is making significant gains in the Uttar Pradesh bypolls, leading in 5 out of the 9 assembly seats, according to early trends. This electoral contest is seen as a litmus test for Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath and the BJP following setbacks in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections.

Key Contest Highlights
Meerapur: Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD), an NDA ally, is witnessing success with its candidate Mithilesh Pal leading against Samajwadi Party (SP)’s Sumbul Rana.

Kundarki: BJP’s Ramvir Singh Thakur is leading, delivering a blow to the SP, where Haji Rizwan is contesting.

Khair: BJP candidate Surendra Diler is ahead by 1,738 votes against SP’s Charu Kain.

Phulpur and Ghaziabad: BJP maintains leads, consolidating its position in these constituencies.

Karhal: SP’s Tej Pratap Yadav, nephew of Akhilesh Yadav, is leading in a critical race. This seat, vacated by Akhilesh Yadav after his Lok Sabha win, holds immense symbolic importance.

Sisamau: SP candidate Naseem Solanki is leading, providing the party with a glimmer of hope.
Ghaziabad: Despite logging the lowest voter turnout at 33.30%, the BJP is in a commanding position.


BSP and Other Parties’ Performance

The Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) remains largely out of contention, with its candidate Deepak Tiwari in third place in Meerapur. Smaller parties and independent candidates have also struggled to make an impact in these bypolls.

Impact on BJP and Yogi Adityanath’s Leadership
The bypoll results come as a potential turnaround for Yogi Adityanath and the BJP, following their performance in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections where the BJP secured 37 seats, compared to 43 by the INDIA bloc. Of these, the SP won 37, while the Congress claimed 6 seats. The early trends suggest that the BJP has managed to regain momentum in Uttar Pradesh, signaling its preparedness for upcoming electoral battles.

Exit Poll Predictions vs. Early Trends
Exit polls had projected significant gains for the BJP. Polls by Martize and Dainik Bhaskar predicted the NDA alliance winning 7 seats, while JVC’s forecast suggested the BJP could secure 6 seats. Early trends align with these projections, with the BJP firmly ahead in five constituencies and expected to capture more as counting progresses.

Voter Turnout and Challenges
The voter turnout in the bypolls stood at 49.3%, indicating a moderate level of public engagement. Ghaziabad reported the lowest turnout at 33.30%, while the other constituencies saw figures below 60%, as per Election Commission data.

Highest Turnout: Katehari at 56.69%
Other Turnouts: Kundarki (57.32%), Meerapur (57.02%), Khair (46.43%), Karhal (53.92%), and Sisamau (49.03%).

The low voter turnout may pose questions about public enthusiasm and the impact of these results on broader state and national politics.

As the counting continues, all eyes are on the final results, particularly in key constituencies like Karhal and Kundarki. The BJP’s leads suggest that the party is on a path to recovery in Uttar Pradesh, while the Samajwadi Party remains resilient in its strongholds.

The outcome of these bypolls will not only determine the political dynamics in Uttar Pradesh but will also act as a precursor for the 2025 assembly elections, shaping strategies for both the BJP and the INDIA bloc in the state.