Brexit may trigger Scotexit as Nicola Stares down Theresa May

Updated: March 15, 2017 6:20:29 PM

Prime Minister Theresa May presented the bill to trigger the Brexit in the House of Commons amidst looming dissent from the Scottish Highlands.

It is a battle of two strong willed women each with the backing of their parliamentarians.
Will the Wall Street Bull of Brexit proponents be stared down by the defiant Scottish dissent. (Reuters)

Prime Minister Theresa May presented the bill to trigger the Brexit in the House of Commons amidst looming dissent from the Scottish Highlands. Article 50 was adopted by the British House of Commons without much debate, but dissent from the Scottish Premier Nicola Sturgeon spoilt the party. It is a battle of two strong willed women each with the backing of their parliamentarians.
Will the Wall Street Bull of Brexit proponents be stared down by the defiant Scottish dissent.

There was technically no need to present Article 50 to the House of Commons, had it not been for the insistence of Courts which ruled by 8 :3 that Article 50 must be cleared by the British Parliament before implementation. A month ago the Scottish parliament voted overwhelmingly 90-34 saying that the European Union (Notification of Withdrawal) Bill should not proceed. The Supreme Court of United Kingdom has ruled that Scotland need not be consulted again before triggering Brexit, but the Scots are a determined lot, and Theresa May knows that she can stall the Scotts, but not stop them.

May has been accused by Sturgeon of not revealing all the documents that will be part of the EU separation proceedings. This is possibly true, as May wants to play the Brexit cards close to her chest. But the Scotts have a right to know and won’t take the secrecy lying down.Now that the house approval has been received, the cards lie at PM Theresa May’s door, and it will depend on her when she will pen the letter to EU asking for a divorce. May is expected to send the letter before March end, but even as she focuses on the amicable severing of ties, her mind would be on two critical issues.

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Can she open two fronts at the same time dealing with the EU and Scotts simultaneously? The EU which turned down her request to have a composite agreement on the future British ties with the Union, will call the shots after the separation. The live in arrangement with UK is obviously not to be clubbed with the divorce as per the EU leaders. This could make it difficult for May and hence she would want a swift and amicable separation. That may just not happen, as the EU could pull out financially damaging clauses for deserters.

The Scots who passed a motion in their parliament turning down Brexit may on the other hand force a second referendum to leave the United Kingdom. Further Ireland which is now going to the polls and Wales may follow suit and slam Brexit. If they decide to stay with UK they could ask the British for their pound of flesh. The contentious divorce settlement with EU could result in the end of the United Kingdom and the isolation of England, for which Theresa May and others would be blamed.

By-Sandip Sen

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