For more than two decades, Arsenal’s Premier League story has been framed by the ‘Invincibles’ of 2003-04: a benchmark that has slowly become a burden. As the 2025-26 campaign enters its decisive stretch, the conditions suggest this is Arsenal’s clearest shot yet at redemption, even if the “invincibility” felt a little more fragile after a bruising night in Nottingham.

“The word is disappointment”: Arteta’s frustration

Mikel Arteta did not hide his feelings following the January 17 goalless draw at the City Ground. Despite a dominant display that saw Forest fail to register a single shot on target, the Arsenal boss was left ruminating on missed chances and a lack of clinical edge.

“We came here to win the game, that’s clear,” Arteta admitted at full-time. “The word is disappointment. We haven’t conceded anything and generated four massive chances with Martinelli with an open goal, with Declan Rice, Merino and then Bukayo Saka’s header with an unbelievable save.”

For a team that prides itself on “control” the inability to break down Forest’s low block felt like a warning light. Arsenal were also aggrieved by what Arteta described as a “very clear penalty” that went ignored, a moment that could have pushed their lead to nine points.

The numbers: 7 points clear but for how long?

After 22 matches, Arsenal sit top with 50 points, seven clear of Manchester City and Aston Villa. Their defensive record just 14 goals conceded is the best in the league but recent back-to-back 0-0 draws against Liverpool and Forest have stalled their momentum.

In earlier campaigns, Arsenal’s credentials were built on attacking rhythm that eventually stalled. This season, the foundation is more robust, but the “magic moments” are currently missing. Gabriel Martinelli’s point-blank miss and the late “niggle” that saw Bukayo Saka start on the bench are growing concerns for fans.

Rivals stumbling in the rearview

Title races are rarely won in isolation. Manchester City, usually relentless in January, are winless in four league games following their 2-0 loss to Manchester United on Saturday. Aston Villa’s shock 1-0 defeat to Everton on Sunday further cushioned Arsenal’s lead but the Gunners cannot rely on external failures forever.

The United Test: A moment for champions

As they prepare to host a resurgent Manchester United on January 25, Arsenal are no longer chasing a miracle; they are confronting a moment. Three consecutive second-place finishes have sharpened their edge but as Arteta noted, “generating momentum” is becoming increasingly difficult as teams sit deeper.

The landscape is as favourable as it has been since 2004. If Arsenal fail from here, the regret will be sharper than before not because they were outmatched but because they had the keys and couldn’t turn the lock.