A turnaround for real estate? Residential sales, new launches show significant growth in Q3 2021

By: |
Updated: October 18, 2021 12:49 PM

A total of 55,907 new housing units were sold in these markets during the three-month period, showing an upswing of 59% when compared to the same period in 2020.

Units in the price bracket of less than Rs 45 lakh contributed the highest to the quarterly sales, by claiming a 40% share, followed by the Rs 45-75 lakh ticket-size bucket, which took 28 percent share.

Even as India’s real estate developers are pinning their hopes on the ongoing festive season to give residential real estate that much-required giant push towards a recovery, growth indicators for the sector have already begun to signal a steady improvement.

According to Real Insight (Residential): July – September (Q3) 2021, a quarterly industry report by PropTiger.com, home sales and new launches have both shown a significant improvement in the period between July and September 2021, indicating that a turnaround for the real estate sector might be around the corner.

“It is now a well-established fact that the notion of property ownership has gained significant currency in the aftermath of COVID and its impact on the way people live and work. Even as this has helped build positive consumer sentiment vis-à-vis residential real estate, support measures by the government and the banking sector have set the ball rolling for a positive change in momentum for the sector. In combination, these two factors have helped drive both demand and supply metrics upwards during the July-September quarter of 2021,” said Dhruv Agarawala, Group CEO, HouHousing.com, PropTiger.com & Makaan.com.

“The stage is now set for the festive season to give that much-desired fillip for the industry that it has been eagerly awaiting and working so hard for,” Agarwala added.

According to Real Insight (Residential) – July-September (Q3)2021, home sales in India’s eight leading markets have undergone a significant improvement during the July-September period of 2021 (Q3 2021) as demand for residences picked up post the second wave of the coronavirus pandemic.

A total of 55,907 new housing units were sold in these markets during the three-month period, showing an upswing of 59% when compared to the same period in 2020. On a sequential basis, home sales showed much stronger growth of 250% — only 15,968 units were sold during the April-June period this year (Q22021), the report shows.

Units in the price bracket of less than Rs 45 lakh contributed the highest to the quarterly sales, by claiming a 40% share, followed by the Rs 45-75 lakh ticket-size bucket, which took 28 percent share.

Numbers for new supply show three-fold jump over Q3 2020

After a prolonged period of decline, new supply in India’s eight prime residential markets also saw a remarkable upswing in Q3, showing a three-fold jump of 228% to 65,211units when compared to Q32020 wherein a total of 19,865 units were launched in these eight prime real estate markets.

The sequential increase in the new supply was also not any less impressive—a total 21,836 units were launched in Q2 of the calendar year, indicating a 199% jump in Q3.

Of the total units launched in Q3, 33% were from the Rs 45-75 lakh price bracket, the highest number of launches seen in any segment during the quarter.

Mumbai (33%) and Ahmedabad (21%) saw the highest number of quarterly launches.

Inventory overhang declines to 3.6 years; further improvement likely in festive season

As on September 30, 2021, builders in India had an unsold stock consisting of 7,20,519 housing units across the top eight residential markets.

Even though new supply added to the overall number of units available for purchase in the eight housing markets (unsold stock stood at 7,11,215 in Q22021), the inventory overhang during Q32021 declined to 44 months (3.6 years) from 48 months in the previous quarter.

This decline in the inventory overhang — the estimated period builders in a particular market are likely to take to sell off their unsold stock at the existing sales velocity — can be attributed to the upswing in demand during the quarter, which is likely to improve further in Q4. This may lead to a further reduction in the inventory overhang during the festive season.

While the NCR has the highest inventory overhang of 62 months, Hyderabad has the lowest inventory overhang at 25 months.

Price growth remains muted; average growth remains positive for Ahmedabad

As supply-side issues continued to adversely impact cost of building housing projects in the aftermath of the pandemic, all housing markets included in the analysis showed an uptick in average prices of flats and villas. On a pan-India basis, weighted average price stood at Rs. 6,200 – Rs.6400 per sq ft, a YoY change of 5%.

Ahmedabad saw the highest upward movement in average prices of flats, with average price increasing to Rs 3300 – Rs 3500 per sq ft (psf) in Q32021, 8% YoY increase. This was followed by Hyderabad at 6%, then Delhi NCR at 5% and Pune & Bengaluru at 4%, Mumbai & Chennai at 3%, and Kolkata at 2% YoY change in weighted average price.

Get live Stock Prices from BSE, NSE, US Market and latest NAV, portfolio of Mutual Funds, Check out latest IPO News, Best Performing IPOs, calculate your tax by Income Tax Calculator, know market’s Top Gainers, Top Losers & Best Equity Funds. Like us on Facebook and follow us on Twitter.

Financial Express is now on Telegram. Click here to join our channel and stay updated with the latest Biz news and updates.

Next Stories
1Looking for large and mid-cap equity exposure? Consider an index fund
2SGB 2021-22: Gold Bond issue price fixed at Rs 4,791/gm; subscription opens Monday
3Want to buy Nifty 50 Index? Know about Nifty BeES ETF and how to invest in it