The spoiler is coming at a time when the nation’s authorities are still working on bringing confidence back into the local credit market that went into a seizure about 18 months ago.
A record overseas debt binge by Indian companies risks losing steam as rising hedging costs make those borrowings costlier than local debt. Five-year annualized dollar-rupee hedging costs have risen to 4.8%, close to the highest since May 2017, according to QuantArt Market Solutions, a Mumbai-based advisory firm. While there has been no slack in the pace of dollar bond sales by local companies so far, prospective issuers are keeping a close watch on the costs as rates to borrow in local markets ease.
“If hedging costs keep rising, it makes it difficult for borrowers to carry the exchange rate risk,” said Samir Lodha, chief executive officer at QuantArt. “Conservative companies will stay away from the dollar bond market, once they compare the relative value of onshore and offshore borrowings.”
The spoiler is coming at a time when the nation’s authorities are still working on bringing confidence back into the local credit market that went into a seizure about 18 months ago. Meanwhile, the rate at which highly rated companies can borrow in the local market has eased by more 120 basis points in the past year, a favorable move for Indian firms that are facing a record $92 billion wall of bonds maturing in 2020.