Oil prices rose more than 2 percent on Friday, rebounding from two days of declines as Wall Street rose on strong U.S. jobs data, while investors also grew hopeful that a planned meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and North Korea’s Kim Jong Un could ease geopolitical tensions. Brent crude futures rose $1.60 to $65.21 a barrel, a 2.5 percent gain, by 11:41 a.m. EST (1641 GMT). West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures rose $1.60 to $61.72 a barrel, a 2.7 percent gain.
Trump said he was prepared to meet Kim in what would be the first face-to-face encounter between leaders from the two countries and could mark a breakthrough in a standoff over the North’s nuclear weapons. Kim also has committed to suspending further nuclear or missile tests. Wall Street jumped after U.S. payrolls data showed strong job additions in February. The S&P 500 index was last up more than 1 percent, while the Nasdaq Composite index hit a record high, further supporting oil prices.
Crude futures and stock indices have recently moved in tandem. The jobs report “speaks to strong, underlying economic conditions, and growth, which includes increased energy demand,” said John Kilduff, partner at investment manager Again Capital in New York. Also bullish for oil prices, Libya’s 70,000 barrels per day El Feel oilfield stayed shut despite the Petroleum Facilities Guard saying it had reached a deal to reopen it, according to a field engineer and local mediator.
Despite Friday’s gains, some analysts are maintaining a bearish view on the oil sector. “While this strong connect between oil and the macro is expected to continue, we are also seeing an increasingly bearish tilt to our short-term fundamental model,” Jim Ritterbusch, president of energy advisory firm Ritterbusch & Associates, said in a note.
“With the EIA’s estimated weekly production showing renewed upside acceleration, a record production is coming closer to offsetting this year’s demand that has generally been stronger than expected.” The EIA said on Tuesday it expects U.S. crude output in the fourth quarter of 2018 to reach an average of 11.17 million bpd, up from the previous forecast a month ago of 11.04 million bpd.
This would make it a bigger producer than Russia, now ranked No. 1. Analysts at Commerzbank said they expected U.S. weekly rig count data due on Friday to show further increases, adding pressure on oil prices. “After all, it is attractive to drill for shale oil at prices above $60,” they said in a note.