China’s yuan weakens, prompting dollar sales by state banks

By: | Published: March 9, 2017 11:42 AM

China's yuan weakened against the dollar on Thursday on strong corporate demand for the greenback, forcing state-owned banks to offer dollar liquidity to keep the Chinese currency from falling too fast, traders said.

The spot market opened at 6.9131 per dollar and was changing hands at 6.9188 at midday after hitting a low of 6.9207, the weakest since mid-January. (Reuters)

China’s yuan weakened against the dollar on Thursday on strong corporate demand for the greenback, forcing state-owned banks to offer dollar liquidity to keep the Chinese currency from falling too fast, traders said. Major state-owned banks were seen selling dollars in the onshore foreign-exchange market, according to three traders. They said the selling was a bid to support the yuan after it weakened past 6.92 to the dollar in early trade. Prior to market open, the People’s Bank of China set the midpoint rate at 6.9125 per dollar, weaker than Wednesday’s fix of 6.9032. The spot market opened at 6.9131 per dollar and was changing hands at 6.9188 at midday after hitting a low of 6.9207, the weakest since mid-January. The midday level was 53 pips weaker than the previous late session close and 0.09 percent softer than the midpoint. The traders said that before the state banks entered the market – which halted the yuan’s slide – heavy dollar purchases by companies plus a rising greenback in global markets weighed on the Chinese currency. “Companies’ willingness to buy dollars was quite strong today.

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The quicker the yuan depreciates, the more dollars companies purchase,” said one trader at a foreign bank in Shanghai. A second trader said it was “normal” for the state banks to offer dollars in such a situation as Beijing is holding its annual parliamentary meetings. Traditionally, Chinese authorities have sought to keep the currency stable during major political events. A subtle change in the language used to describe the yuan in Premier Li Keqiang’s work report to parliament on Sunday had sparked some speculation policymakers are now less willing to defend the Chinese currency. But traders in China said the change wouldn’t affect the spot market. A pledge made in previous years to “keep the yuan stable at an appropriate and balanced level” was missing, and Li said the exchange rate “will be further liberalised, and the currency’s stable position in the global monetary system will be maintained.”

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The Thomson Reuters/HKEX Global CNH index, which tracks the offshore yuan against a basket of currencies on a daily basis, stood at 95.06, firmer than the previous day’s 94.94. The global dollar index rose to 102.2 from the previous close of 102.07, not far from a March 2 peak of 102.26, level unseen since Jan. 11. The offshore yuan was trading 0.12 percent weaker than the onshore spot at 6.9268 per dollar. Offshore one-year non-deliverable forwards contracts (NDFs), considered the best available proxy for forward-looking market expectations of the yuan’s value, traded at 7.165, 3.52 percent weaker than the midpoint. One-year NDFs are settled against the midpoint, not the spot rate. The yuan market at 0400 GMT: ONSHORE SPOT: Item Current Previous Change PBOC midpoint 6.9125 6.9032 -0.13% Spot yuan 6.9188 6.9135 -0.08% Divergence from 0.09% midpoint* Spot change YTD 0.40% Spot change since 2005 19.62% revaluation Key indexes: Item Current Previous Change Thomson 95.06 94.94 0.1 Reuters/HKEX CNH index Dollar index 102.2 102.07 0.1 *Divergence of the dollar/yuan exchange rate. Negative number indicates that spot yuan is trading stronger than the midpoint. The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) allows the exchange rate to rise or fall 2 percent from official midpoint rate it sets each morning. OFFSHORE CNH MARKET Instrument Current Difference from onshore Offshore spot yuan 6.9268 -0.12% * Offshore 7.165 -3.52% non-deliverable forwards ** *Premium for offshore spot over onshore **Figure reflects difference from PBOC’s official midpoint, since non-deliverable forwards are settled against the midpoint.

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