Asian shares were mixed on Monday as hopes for a recovery from the coronavirus pandemic with the global rollout of vaccines were countered by worries about inflation and continuing economic damage. Benchmarks rose in Hong Kong and Japan but fell in South Korea and Australia. Investors remain focused on the future of global economies badly hit by COVID-19 and when and whether there will be enough stimulus to fix it.
But the US USD 1.9 trillion economic package proposed by President Joe Biden also heralds hope for export-reliant regional economies. Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 gained 0.8 per cent in morning trading to 30,250.83. South Korea’s Kospi dipped 0.3 per cent to 3,097.27. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 was little changed, inching down less than 0.1 per cent to 6,789.80.
Hong Kong’s Hang Seng added nearly 0.4 per cent to 30,750.83, while the Shanghai Composite fell less than 0.1 per cent to 3,694.81. Japan began administering vaccines for COVID-19 last week. It was the last of the Group of Seven industrial nations to get started, beginning with health workers. Prospects for further shipments of vaccine remain uncertain, according to Taro Kono, the Japanese minister tasked with overseeing the effort.
Vaccination drives are set to start soon in other Asian nations, such as Malaysia, Vietnam and the Philippines. Investors remain focused on the future of global economies badly hit by COVID-19 and the potential for more stimulus to fix it. The US House of Representatives is likely to vote on Biden’s proposed package by the end of the week.
It would include USD 1,400 checks to most Americans, additional payments for children, and billions of dollars in aid to state and local governments as well as additional aid to businesses impacted by the pandemic. “But timing is everything,” Stephen Innes of Axi said in a commentary. He noted that inflation concerns are overhanging the market, as the economy heals from the pandemic downturn while the Biden administration strives to recover the millions of jobs lost.
“The next leg of the reflation will have to be carried more and more by a continued recovery in economic growth, as fiscal and monetary stimulus gets increasingly packed into the price,” he said. One challenge is to keep inflation in check and minimize trauma to the markets from adjustments in the Federal Reserve’s ultra-supportive monetary policy.