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All eyes on US jobs report and on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech this week

Since the Fed’s latest meeting, investors have parsed a bevy of economic data that somewhat eased inflation concerns, further strengthening the case for smaller rate hikes.

All eyes on US jobs report and on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech this week
S&P 500 notched a weekly gain of 1.5% that took the index to the highest level since early September.

Bloomberg: Shares slid while the dollar and Treasuries advanced as growing unrest in China over Covid restrictions sent a shiver through global markets. Chinese equities led the share-market declines, with weakness also evident in Australia, Japan and South Korea. US futures dropped as modest customer traffic and heavy discounting by American retailers on Black Friday added to the downbeat tone.

The greenback strengthened on haven demand, showing notable gains against the currencies of Australia and South Africa, both of which are exposed to trade with China. The onshore yuan dropped as much as 1% before trimming its loses.

The advance in Treasuries was accompanied by a rally in Australian and New Zealand government bonds. Meanwhile, the cost to insure Asia’s ex-Japan high-rated dollar bonds against default headed for its first increase in five days.

“Markets will respond negatively to the widespread protests and rising case numbers, which are likely to trigger new supply-chain disruptions and dampen consumption demand, at least in the short term,” said Gabriel Wildau, managing director at Teneo Holdings LLC in New York.

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Oil fell as developments in China hurt appetite for risk and the outlook for demand, adding to stresses in an already-fragile global market. West Texas Intermediate Crude slid to the lowest level since 2021.

Gold edged lower as the dollar strengthened, placing downward pressure on the precious metal.

The downbeat mood emanating from China contrasts with the boost to sentiment in global markets last week after the Federal Reserve’s Nov. 1-2 meeting minutes showed most officials backing slowing the pace of interest-rate hikes.

Also Read: Fewer S&P 500 companies citing ‘recession’ in earnings conference call

Fed Focus

Since the Fed’s latest meeting, investors have parsed a bevy of economic data that somewhat eased inflation concerns, further strengthening the case for smaller rate hikes.

The S&P 500 notched a weekly gain of 1.5% that took the index to the highest level since early September. The Nasdaq 100 also eked out a gain for the week.

All eyes will be on the US jobs report this week and on Fed Chair Jerome Powell and New York Fed President John Williams, who are among central bank officials scheduled to speak.

Amid the challenges in China, the nation’s central bank on Friday cut the amount of cash lenders must hold in reserve for the second time this year, an escalation of support for an economy that’s being weighed down by Covid curbs.

“Anything exposed to China is probably going to be vulnerable,” said Jessica Amir, a market strategist at Saxo Capital Markets in Sydney. “Forward earnings of Chinese exposed companies will be in question and investors will probably express that by selling.”

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First published on: 28-11-2022 at 11:44:20 am