The scores attached to each of the measures have been calculated by normalizing the deviation of the latest value of the indicator from its yearly average.
India’s shadow lenders are facing fresh turmoil after asset manager Franklin Templeton shut funds late last month, prompting other large investors to dump the financiers’ debt. Mutual funds are big buyers of non-bank financial firms’ bonds and some are struggling to meet redemptions after the biggest-ever forced closure of funds in the country. Spreads on AAA rated five-year bonds of shadow lenders have soared to an eight-year high. Three other gauges of the sector’s health compiled by Bloomberg showed no improvement last month, with a measure of shares of 20 financial firms and other companies staying depressed.
The scores attached to each of the measures have been calculated by normalizing the deviation of the latest value of the indicator from its yearly average. They are assigned on a scale of 1 to 7, with 1 implying weakness and 7 showing strength.
There are mounting concerns that the default rate in India may spike after the world’s biggest stay-at-home restriction halted manufacturing and wiped out consumption. Credit growth has remained sluggish, with banks hoarding cash, Bloomberg’s index of banking liquidity showed last month.
“Most of the banks have stayed away from lending to smaller NBFCs like us for the last 18 months,” said Kunal Mehta, founder of Arthan Finance Pvt., which specializes in small business financing across second and third-tier Indian cities. Lending aversion deepened further after the outbreak as businesses were shut due to the lockdown, he said.
Authorities have been struggling to steady India’s shadow-bank sector since the collapse of major infrastructure financier IL&FS Group in 2018. The firms form the backbone of Asia’s third-largest economy as they lend to everyone from small merchants to business titans.
To help cash-starved shadow lenders cope with the coronavirus-fueled slowdown and encourage banks to invest in bonds of these financiers, the government on Wednesday announced new measures after the steps taken by the central bank last month on buying debt of shadow lenders met a lukewarm response.
The government will open a 300 billion rupee ($4 billion) credit line for non-bank firms, and will fully guarantee investment-grade securities issued under this plan, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said on Wednesday. To further help lower-rated financiers, the government will also provide a partial guarantee to bonds rated AA and below, injecting another 450 billion rupees.
India’s non-bank financiers aren’t alone facing the heat. Global peers in the U.S. were struggling until the Federal Reserve last month expanded its unprecedented support of credit markets to include the debt of riskier borrowers.