UP Exit Poll Results 2022: Surveys predict repeat of ‘double-engine sarkar’, Yogi set to return as CM for second straight term

Uttar Pradesh Assembly Election Exit Poll 2022 Results, UP Exit Poll 2022 Live Updates: The early exit polls suggest an easy victory for the BJP but with a reduced margin.

Exit Poll UP 2022 Live, UP Exit Poll Result Live, Exit Poll Result Live
UP Exit Poll Results 2022 LIVE: The early exit polls suggest an easy victory for the BJP but with a reduced margin.

Uttar Pradesh (UP) Exit Poll Results 2022 Highlights: Exit polls have predicted a clear victory for the BJP suggesting that Yogi Adityanath with return as the chief minister for a second straight term, something which will happen for the first time in UP’s electoral history if the poll results on March 10 fall in line with these surveys. A poll of nine exit polls suggests that the BJP will win around 253 of the 403 seats while the SP-RLD alliance will left a distant second with just 133 seats. While the counting of votes will be held on March 10, the exit poll data will give an estimate of how the parties might fare in the poll outcome.

The UP Assembly elections are seen as a direct contest between the BJP and Samajwadi Party, despite the polls having turned into a multi-cornered contest. While the BJP has joined hands with regional parties like Apna Dal and Nishad Party, the Samajwadi Party has forged alliance with Rashtriya Lok Dal, which has an overwhelming support base in western Uttar Pradesh. In the 2017 UP elections, the BJP-led NDA rode the ‘Modi wave’ to claim a thumping victory, bagging 325 out of the 403-member state assembly while the Samajwadi Party’s alliance with the Congress was left decimated and could win only 47 seats.

Live Updates

UP Assembly Election Exit Polls 2022 Live: In BJP vs Samajwadi Party prestige battle, exit poll predictions shortly

21:10 (IST) 7 Mar 2022
CVoter Exit Poll for Uttar Pradesh

BJP – 228-244

SP – 132-148

BSP – 13-21

Congress – 4-8

Others – 2-6

21:09 (IST) 7 Mar 2022
Today’s Chanakya Exit Poll for Uttar Pradesh

BJP+ 294 ± 19

SP+ 105 ± 19

BSP 2 ± 2

Cong 1 ± 1

Others 1 ± 1

20:18 (IST) 7 Mar 2022
India Today – Axis MyIndia Exit Poll

BJP – 288-326

SP+ – 71-101

BSP – 3-9

Congress – 1-3

19:58 (IST) 7 Mar 2022
Poll of six exit polls suggests easy win for BJP in UP

Poll of six exit polls published so far predict an easy win for the BJP in Uttar Pradesh and some minor gains for the SP-RLD alliance. If election results on March 10 fall in line with the exit polls, Yogi Adityanath will retain power for a second straight term for the first time in the electoral history of UP.

19:50 (IST) 7 Mar 2022
Times Now-Veto Exit Poll for Uttar Pradesh

BJP – 225

SP – 151

BSP – 14

Congress – 9

Others – 4

19:48 (IST) 7 Mar 2022
Jan Ki Baat Exit Poll for Uttar Pradesh

BJP+: 222-260

SP+: 135-165

BSP: 4-9

INC: 1-3

Others: 3-4

19:38 (IST) 7 Mar 2022
Exit Poll for UP by ETG Research

Exit Poll for UP by ETG Research

BJP – 230-245

SP+ – 150-165

Congress – 2-6

BSP – 5-10

19:22 (IST) 7 Mar 2022
P-Marq Exit Poll for Uttar Pradesh

P-Marq Exit Poll for Uttar Pradesh

BJP+: 240

SP+: 140

BSP: 17

INC: 04

19:12 (IST) 7 Mar 2022
Matrize Exit Poll for UP: BJP to win 262-277 seats, SP-RLD may bag 119-134 seats

Matrize Exit Poll for Uttar Pradesh

BJP: 262-277


BSP – 7-15

INC – 3-8

19:09 (IST) 7 Mar 2022
Pollstrat Exit Poll for UP: BJP set to retain UP, may win 211-225 seats

Pollstrat Exit Poll:

BJP+ : 211-225

SP+: 116-160

BSP: 14-24

INC: 4-6

18:47 (IST) 7 Mar 2022
BJP set for historic win with 262-277 seats, suggests first exit poll on UP

The exit polls predicted that BJP is set to get between 262-277, reports News18

BJP + : 262-277 SP – RLD: 119-134 Congress : 3-8 BSP : 07-15

18:42 (IST) 7 Mar 2022
Early exit polls predict win for BJP in UP

The early exit poll predictions suggest a win for the BJP against the SP-RLD alliance, its main competitor in the UP Assembly polls.

18:21 (IST) 7 Mar 2022
BJP faces litmus test in western UP, SP-RLD alliance banks on Jat-Muslim brotherhood

Western Uttar Pradesh is believed to be a testing region for Yogi Adityanath amidst the farmers' angst against the BJP governments at the state and Centre over the now-repealed agri laws. The SP-RLD alliance has not only been trying to capitalise on the issue of farmers, but also bring back the Jat-Muslim brotherhood in the region.

18:08 (IST) 7 Mar 2022
Exit polls not official election results, can vary sharply from official outcome

Exit polls gives a broad trend and a sense of direction as to where the mood of the nation is heading. It should also be noted that there have been various instances when exit polls predictions turned out to be wrong.

17:52 (IST) 7 Mar 2022
UP Assembly Elections: a look at how parties fared in 2017

BJP – 312

Samajwadi Party – 47

Bahujan Samaj Party – 19

Congress – 07

Apna Dal (S) – 09

SBSP – 04

Independent – 03

Others – 01

17:40 (IST) 7 Mar 2022
How regions voted in UP Elections 2017

Western UP (73): BJP – 51, SP – 16, Congress – 02, BSP – 01

Rohilkhand (67): BJP – 10, SP – 34, BSP – 18

Awadh (137): BJP – 116, SP – 11, BSP – 00

Bundelkhand (19): BJP – 19, SP – 00, BSP – 00

Purvanchal (170): BJP – 100+ seats

17:30 (IST) 7 Mar 2022
UP Elections 2022: Lakhimpur, farmers’ protest topped Oppn’s charge against BJP

In the electoral battle which went on for nearly two months, the opposition targeted the BJP government over the issues of Lakhimpur Kheri violence, farmers' protest against the now-repealed agri laws, inflation, Hathras gangrape-murder case and the alleged mishandling of COVID-19 situation.

17:16 (IST) 7 Mar 2022
High-voltage campaigning in UP saw endless claims and counter-claims

The BJP's campaigning saw Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath cornering the Samajwadi Party for indulging in dynasty politics and exploiting the backward communities for electoral gains. Akhilesh Yadav, on the other hand, targeted the BJP over the law and order situation in the state and the alleged mishandling of the COVID-19 situation.

16:45 (IST) 7 Mar 2022
Seventh and last phase polling underway in Uttar Pradesh

The seventh and last phase of polling in Uttar Pradesh is being held for 54 Assembly constituencies, including Prime Minister Narendra Modi's Lok Sabha constituency Varanasi. The previous six phases have seen an average voter turnout of over 60 per cent.

16:40 (IST) 7 Mar 2022
Exit Poll Results 2022: Can Modi thwart Opposition challenge? Pollsters to release data for 5 states today

The final phase of voting for the assembly polls in Uttar Pradesh will bring down curtains on the electoral battle in five states today, which went on for almost a month. With the conclusion of the seventh phase of voting in UP, the Election Commission’s ban on publishing exit polls will also be lifted and media organisations will come up with their predictions for the Assembly elections held in five states — UP, Punjab, Uttarakhand, Goa and Manipur — between February 10 and March 7. Read More

16:39 (IST) 7 Mar 2022
Both BJP and Samajwadi Party confident of emerging victorious on March 10

The opinion polls had predicted a close contest between the BJP and the Samajwadi Party while giving the former an edge over the latter. However, Akhilesh Yadav has time and again exuded confidence that his alliance with Jayant Chaudhary-led RLD will defeat the Yogi Adityanath-led BJP in the state.

On the other hand, senior BJP leader and Home Minister Amit Shah and party chief J P Nadda on Saturday exuded confidence that the party will retain UP with more number of seats than in 2017.

On the other hand, Mayawati-led Bahujan Samaj Party and Priyanka Gandhi-led Congress in the state may struggle to retain their traditional seats, according to the opinion polls which were conducted before the elections.

These elections are said to set the stage for the 2024 Lok Sabha elections and will also be the first indicator of whether the ‘Brand Modi’ continues to be the key to the BJP’s victory run in one poll after another since 2014.

First published on: 07-03-2022 at 16:28 IST