Surgical strikes by India impact: In the wake of the surgical strikes by India across the LoC in Pakistan Occupied Kashmir (PoK) that brought so much shame to Pakistan has led its army and the civilian government to get together and find a solution that would wipe out its humiliation. As is its won’t, Pakistan has chosen to do so by cross-border violence. Over the recent weeks, we have seen a huge number of attacks on various targets in Kashmir that has led to the killing of many terrorists by the Indian forces.
The aim of the Pakistani Army is to bleed India by a thousand cuts, which is an old policy that it keeps in constant working order. While Pakistan is yet to recognise officially the fact the the Indian Army carried out the surgical strikes, the Pakistani armed forces know they have lost image and its pride has been dented in the public sphere. All Indian TV channels have been running stories on it and analysts there have slammed Pakistan non-stop for weeks since.
With the order to ramp-up the attacks on Kashmir by terrorists in the wake of the surgical strikes, Pakistan is looking for redemption. It believes its pride will be restored when the Pakistani public sees the number of attacks being carried out by the militants. It is also hoping that one of these encounters ends in big Indian casualties and becomes a huge success at home.
However, what the Pakistani army is not understanding is that the Indian government has indicated that it will give back in kind at a ‘time and place of its choosing’. This time, the probability of the Narendra Modi govt using greater force to effect greater damage on the Pakistani establishment cannot be discounted. If that happens, then the Pakistani establishment will suffer even more humiliation.
In the weeks after the surgical strikes in PoK by India, what has happened in Pakistan is the opening of the rift between the Pakistani Army led by Gen Raheel Sharif and the Pakistani government led by PM Nawaz Sharif. And this is the direct result of the Indian Army’s strike. The rift that has opened up inside Pakistan has raised the chances of a coup immeasurably. Gen Sharif may well dismiss the Pak civilian government and take over as the President, something like what happened to Nawaz Sharif earlier when Gen Pervez Musharraf had sacked his then government.
The reason for the rift is ostensibly that the Pakistan government has protested the Pakistan Army’s strategy to send militants to attack India as it is not bringing the desired benefits for the country. However, the army there is unwilling to tone down the rhetoric, far less reduce the attacks or the support it lends to these forces inimical to India.
Since the Pakistani army calls the shots there, Nawaz Sharif has fallen in line and he has even launched a crackdown against those in the media who reported on the ‘rift’ as was seen in the case of Dawn newspaper , when its columnist Cyril Almeida was barred from going out of the country, leaving him in despair.
For Pakistan, the attacks on India are a no-win situation. In fact, they are counterproductive. What the latest steps have done is make the country an even bigger pariah than it already was. Also, there is nothing like a crackdown against journalists to get the international agencies and the world community at large to line up against it. To its lasting shame, Pakistan is refusing to read the writing on the wall.