Opinion poll: If elections to Delhi Assembly held now, BJP would thrash AAP, bag a whopping 62 seats

As per the statistics thrown up by the poll, the result of 2015 assembly poll would be totally upended.

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The civil defamation suit has been filed against Arvind Kejriwal by the BJP member for allegedly projecting him as the person who assaulted former AAP minister Kapil Mishra. (PTI)

Extrapolating on the MCD elections, the IndiaToday-AxisMyIndia Delhi Opinion Poll has made some projections today about what will happen if the Assembly elections were held in the capital city now. According to the poll, there would be a massive drubbing for the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) led by Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal. As per the statistics thrown up by the poll, the result of 2015 assembly poll would be totally upended. So, from a tally of just 3 seats in the Delhi assembly, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) will grab between a mammoth 56-62 seats (a gain of 56), while the AAP would crash from a high of 67 to a low of between 6-7 (a loss of 62). The Congress, which was totally wiped out from the assembly will get as many as 4-7 (a gain of 6) while the others will remain at zero.

The total U-turn in fortunes is clear in the voting share too, according to the opinion poll. So, while in Assembly elections 2015, BJP managed to get a vote share of 32%, in 2017 it would win as much as 43% share (gain of 11%). The Congress, which got a vote share of 9.7% will get as much as 23% (a gain of 13.3%). AAP, which got a vote share of 54% then will now get 24% of the vote share (a loss of 30%). The ‘others’, who got a vote share of 4.3% will now get 10% (a gain of 5.7%). Clearly, the AAP is looking at a huge backlash from the public as it has not been able to implement the policies it had promised.

The opinion poll comes a day after polling for crucial Delhi MCD elections. As per the exit poll results shown by ABP-C Voter and Aaj Tak-Axis My India predicted on Sunday, BJP will sweep all the three Municipal Corporations here. As per ABP News-C Voter survey, the BJP is set to win 218 seats out of a total of 272, and is trailed by AAP with 24 seats, and Congress with 22, and the survey predicted 8 seats for others. While the Aaj Tak-Axis My India exit poll also predicted BJP getting a landslide victory in the polls. The survey gave 202 – 220 seats to BJP, trailed by Aam Aadmi Party with (23 – 35 seats) and Congress (19 – 31 seats).

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