Kerala Election Exit Poll Result 2026: Polling for the 2026 Assembly elections in Kerala was conducted in a single phase on April 9, recording a voter turnout of around 78%, indicating strong public participation.
With voting now over, focus has shifted to exit polls.Here’s what the exit polls say.
Assembly Election Exit Polls 2026 Seat projections from major pollsters across 5 states
Exit polls to offer first trends
Agencies including CVoter, Axis My India, Ipsos, Jan Ki Baat and Today’s Chanakya will release the exit poll results. Each agency follows its own sampling method, so variations in projections are expected. Analysts usually compare multiple exit polls to identify broader trends rather than relying on a single estimate.
The electoral contest in Kerala remains centred on the Left Democratic Front (LDF) and the United Democratic Front (UDF), with the BJP-led NDA attempting to widen its footprint in the state. Historically, Kerala has alternated between the LDF and UDF, but recent trends have sparked debate on whether voters may favour continuity this time. The outcome will hinge on whether the ruling alliance can hold its ground or if the opposition manages to stage a comeback.
How exit polls are interpreted
Exit polls are based on surveys conducted after voters cast their ballots. Pollsters gather responses from selected voters and use statistical models to estimate voting patterns. These projections indicate trends but are not final results. Differences between agencies are common, especially in close contests.
With counting scheduled for May 4, exit polls will serve as an early indicator, but the final verdict will only be known once official results are declared.
Disclaimer: Exit polls are statistical projections based on voter interviews conducted immediately after polling. They are not official results and should be treated only as indicative trends.
Kerala Election Exit Poll Predictions 2026 Live Updates
Kerala Exit Poll 2026 Results, Predictions LIVE: PMARQ predicts UDF edge in projection
Exit poll estimates by PMARQ indicate a strong performance for the United Democratic Front in Kerala.
Seat projection
UDF: 71–79 seats
Left Democratic Front: 62–69 seats
Bharatiya Janata Party: 1–4 seats
Others: 0–3 seats
The projections suggest a closely contested but UDF-leaning race, with a largely bipolar contest between the two main alliances.
Kerala Exit Poll 2026 Results, Predictions LIVE: When will final results be announced?
The final results for Kerala Assembly elections will be declared on May 4, along with counting in other states.
Key states for counting day
On the same day, results will also be announced for:
Tamil Nadu
West Bengal
Assam
Puducherry
The counting process will be conducted under the supervision of the Election Commission of India, after which the official mandate will be confirmed.
Kerala Exit Poll 2026 Results, Predictions LIVE: Matrize predicts UDF lead in projection
Exit poll estimates by Matrize suggest a competitive but UDF-leaning outcome in Kerala.
Seat projection
Left Democratic Front: 60–65 seats
United Democratic Front: 70–75 seats
Bharatiya Janata Party: 3–5 seats
Others: 2–4 seats
The projection indicates a narrow UDF advantage, though margins remain close, reflecting a tightly contested election scenario.
Kerala Exit Poll 2026 Results, Predictions LIVE: JVC exit poll
Exit poll estimates by JVC suggest an advantage for the United Democratic Front in Kerala, with projections indicating 72–84 seats in the 140-member Assembly.
Seat projection breakdown
UDF: 72–84 seats
Left Democratic Front: 52–60 seats
National Democratic Alliance: 3–8 seats
Kerala voted in a single phase on April 9, recording a voter turnout of 78.27%, setting the stage for closely watched post-poll analysis and projections.
Kerala Exit Poll 2026 Results, Predictions LIVE: Kozhikode seat projection by C-Voter
For Kozhikode in Kerala, exit poll estimates suggest a strong lead for the United Democratic Front.
Seat projection and vote share
UDF: 9–11 seats
LDF: 2–4 seats
NDA: 0 seats
Vote share figures were not specified in the available data.
Kerala Exit Poll 2026 Results, Predictions LIVE: UDF set for return, Poll of Polls suggests
Poll of Polls claims that the United Democratic Front could be on track to return to power after nearly a decade.
Poll of polls points to majority
Aggregated estimates place the UDF above the majority mark in the 140-member Assembly, suggesting a potential shift in the state’s political landscape.
These projections are based on multiple exit polls and remain indicative. The final outcome will be confirmed on counting day, May 4, under the supervision of the Election Commission of India.
Kerala Exit Poll 2026 Results, Predictions LIVE: C-Voter projection for Kasaragod
According to C-Voter estimates for the Kasaragod region in Kerala, the United Democratic Front is projected to lead with 2–4 seats, while the Left Democratic Front may secure 1–3 seats, and the National Democratic Alliance is expected to remain at 0 seats.
Vote share estimates
UDF: 43%
LDF: 36%
NDA: 17%
These projections indicate a UDF advantage in Kasaragod, based on post-voting survey trends.
Kerala Exit Poll 2026 Results, Predictions LIVE: Axis My India predictions out
Axis My India: UDF (78-90) | LDF (49-62) | BJP+ (0-3)
Kerala Exit Poll 2026 Results, Predictions LIVE: Vote Vibe predictions out
Vote Vibe: UDF (70-80) | LDF (58-68) | OTH (0-4)
Kerala Exit Poll 2026 Results, Predictions LIVE: People’s Pulse projects UDF ahead
Exit poll estimates by People’s Pulse suggest a lead for the United Democratic Front in the Kerala Assembly elections.
Seat projections indicate UDF advantage
According to the survey, the UDF is projected to win 75–85 seats in the 140-member Assembly, comfortably crossing the majority mark of 71.
The Left Democratic Front is estimated to secure 55–65 seats, placing it below the majority range in these projections. Meanwhile, the National Democratic Alliance is expected to remain marginal, with 0–3 seats.
These figures are based on post-voting surveys and reflect indicative trends. The final outcome will be confirmed on counting day, when votes are officially tallied.
Kerala Exit Poll 2026 Results, Predictions LIVE: UDF ahead in North, LDF behind
Early exit poll projections aired on CNN-News18 indicate that the United Democratic Front (UDF) has taken an early lead in North Kerala, with estimates suggesting 28–32 seats out of the region’s 48. The Left Democratic Front (LDF) is projected to secure between 16 and 20 seats, while the BJP-led NDA is likely to remain marginal with 0–1 seat.
North Kerala gives UDF early advantage
These projections are part of the broader exit poll data being released after voting concluded across all 140 Assembly constituencies in Kerala. The initial numbers suggest a clear edge for the UDF in the northern belt, an area that often plays a crucial role in shaping the overall electoral outcome. The LDF, while still competitive, appears to be trailing in this region based on early estimates.
What these trends could mean
North Kerala accounts for a significant chunk of the state’s seats, making these early trends politically important. A strong showing here could boost the UDF’s chances statewide, though much will depend on how other regions vote. Exit polls are based on post-voting surveys and statistical models, offering an indication of trends rather than definitive results. The final outcome will only be known when votes are counted on the scheduled result day.
Kerala Exit Poll 2026 Results, Predictions LIVE: Early trends before final verdict
Exit polls in Kerala provide an initial snapshot of voting patterns after polling concludes.
Indicative, not final
These surveys are conducted post-voting and offer estimates based on sampled responses, not confirmed outcomes.
The final results will be declared on May 4, when official counting is conducted under the supervision of the Election Commission of India.
Until then, exit poll projections will continue to shape early political analysis and public discussion.
Kerala Exit Poll 2026 Results, Predictions LIVE: Pinarayi Vijayan confident after voting
After casting his vote in Kerala, Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan expressed confidence in the prospects of the Left Democratic Front.
‘Public trust remains intact’
Vijayan said the alliance continues to enjoy strong public support, asserting that “false propaganda” would not affect its chances in the election. He reiterated confidence that voter backing would translate into a favourable outcome for the LDF.
Kerala Exit Poll 2026 Results, Predictions LIVE: Why data wasn’t released on polling day
Exit poll results in Kerala were not made public immediately after voting due to legal restrictions.
Legal rule behind the delay
Under Section 126A of the Representation of the People Act, 1951, the release of exit poll data is prohibited until polling concludes across all phases.
This rule, enforced by the Election Commission of India, is designed to ensure that early projections do not influence voters in regions where polling may still be underway.
As Kerala awaits projections, understanding exit polls helps put early trends in perspective.
What are exit polls?
Exit polls are post-voting surveys conducted after voters leave polling booths. Participants are asked about their voting choice, key issues, and demographic details, which are then used to gauge overall sentiment.
How are they conducted?
Survey agencies collect responses from a sample of voters across constituencies and apply statistical models to estimate:
Seat projections
Vote share trends
Regional performance patterns
While exit polls offer early insights, the final outcome depends on the official counting conducted under the supervision of the Election Commission of India.
Kerala Exit Poll 2026 Results, Predictions LIVE: When will results be released?
Exit poll data for Kerala will be released after 6:30 PM on April 29, in line with guidelines issued by the Election Commission of India.
Why the delay?
The restriction ensures that polling across all states is fully completed before any projections are made public, maintaining the integrity of the electoral process.
What to expect after 6:30 PM
Once the embargo is lifted, news channels and digital platforms will begin publishing:
Seat projections
Vote share estimates
Early trend analyses
With a tight contest between major alliances, Kerala is expected to remain a key focus of exit poll coverage.
Kerala Exit Poll 2026 Results, Predictions LIVE: 78.03% turnout signals tight contest
Kerala recorded a voter turnout of 78.03% in the 2026 Assembly elections, according to data from the Election Commission of India.
High participation fuels suspense
The strong turnout reflects sustained voter engagement across constituencies and has heightened anticipation around exit poll projections.
Both the Left Democratic Front and the United Democratic Front remain optimistic that the voter sentiment will work in their favour, setting the stage for a closely contested outcome.
Kerala Exit Poll 2026 Results, Predictions LIVE: LDF's focus on pensions, housing and healthcare
The LDF has promised to expand social security pensions and increase financial assistance for vulnerable sections. It also aims to scale up public housing schemes and strengthen the healthcare system by upgrading primary health centres and hospitals.
Alongside welfare, the alliance has emphasised investment in education infrastructure and improvements in digital public services. The campaign narrative has centred on continuity of welfare schemes and strengthening the public sector as its core agenda.
Kerala Exit Poll 2026 Results, Predictions LIVE: All eyes on exit polls as first trends awaited
With polling now concluded across Kerala, attention has shifted to exit poll projections that are expected to offer the first glimpse of the electoral outcome.
Early signals before counting day
Exit polls are likely to provide initial directional trends on how the electoral contest may have unfolded. However, their accuracy can vary, and they should be viewed as indicative rather than definitive.
The final outcome will only be confirmed during official counting on May 4, which will determine the actual mandate of voters.