Assembly Election Exit Poll Results 2026 Highlights: The Assembly elections in West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Assam, Kerala and Puducherry wrapped up on April 29 (Wednesday), with exit‑poll projections gave the initial clues on who will form governments in these five regions.
Final results are scheduled for counting on May 4 (Monday), and the exit polls from major agencies such as Axis My India, CVoter, IPSOS and a few others offered early indications of alliances and possible chief ministerial contenders.
Exit-poll projections for the 2026 Assembly elections indicate a significant electoral landscape across five key regions, with the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) poised to retain power in Assam, aiming for a historic third consecutive term through a projected sweeping majority. In West Bengal, the polls paint a picture of a competitive race, with several agencies projecting a decisive win for the Trinamool Congress (TMC), while others suggest a narrower margin in their contest against the BJP.
Tamil Nadu’s projections signal the potential return of the M.K. Stalin-led DMK alliance, though with varying estimates on the seat margins and a noteworthy electoral debut from actor-politician Vijay’s Thamizhaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK). In Kerala, exit-poll data largely points toward a comeback for the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF), indicating a likely shift from the incumbent Left Democratic Front (LDF). Finally, in Puducherry, projections favour the AINRC-led NDA to secure a majority in the Union Territory, with the Congress-led bloc trailing. These projections represent statistical estimates of voter sentiment, not official results, with the final mandate to be determined when votes are officially counted on May 4.
Assembly Election Exit Polls 2026 Seat projections from major pollsters across 5 states
West Bengal: TMC vs BJP cliffhanger
West Bengal’s 294‑seat Assembly election, held in two phases, saw Phase 1 on April 23 and a crucial second phase over 142 seats on April 29, including high‑profile areas like Kolkata, Howrah, North and South 24 Parganas and Nadia. Exit polls for Bengal are expected to highlight a tight contest, with the Trinamool Congress–led coalition and the BJP‑led alliance both vying for a majority as the state’s political landscape hangs in the balance. Past‑cycle exit‑polls have shown close margins between these two blocs and the unusually high “silence” rate makes projections more uncertain this time. Check here exit poll results of West Bengal assembly elections.
Tamil Nadu: DMK vs AIADMK‑led front
Tamil Nadu voted in a single phase on April 23 for all 234 Assembly seats, recording a turnout of around 84.73 per cent, one of the highest in recent years. The main battle is between the DMK‑led alliance and the AIADMK‑led coalition, with the exit‑polls expected to reveal whether the incumbent DMK camp can secure a clear majority or if the opposition AIADMK‑led front makes a strong comeback. Early projections and live‑update channels have already begun speculating about possible leadership shifts, but the exact numbers will only be known after the official exit‑polls are released after 6:30 pm on April 29. Check here live updates on Tamil Nadu (TN) exit poll results 2026 live updates.
Assam, Kerala and Puducherry: Congress vs BJP, Left vs Congress and Union Territory twist
Assam’s 126‑seat election, held in a single phase, saw a turnout of about 85.91 per cent, signalling strong voter engagement amid a three‑front contest mainly between the BJP‑led alliance and the Congress‑led opposition. Some early projections suggest the Congress may be in a position to form the next government with a majority‑range seat share, while the BJP’s tally is expected to dip compared to the last election, though final exit‑polls will clarify the exact picture.
In Kerala, voting for 140 seats took place on April 9, with turnout hovering around 78.27% in a multi‑front contest involving the Left‑led LDF, Congress‑led UDF, and BJP‑led NDA. Exit‑polls will indicate whether the incumbent LDF can secure a rare second consecutive term or if the UDF or BJP‑led bloc can break the pattern, setting the stage for a closely watched result. For live updates on Kerala election exit poll results 2026, check here.
Puducherry, with its single‑phase election and record turnout of 89.87%, the highest since 1964, has seen a competitive contest among the Congress‑led alliance, BJP‑led camp, and regional parties. Exit‑polls will show whether the Congress‑driven front can retain power or if the BJP‑led alliance manages to form the government in this Union Territory.
Disclaimer: Exit polls are statistical projections based on voter interviews conducted immediately after polling. They are not official results and should be treated only as indicative trends.
Assembly Election Exit Poll Results 2026 Live: 'Our Vijay will become Chief Minister', says TVK Spokesperson
"Our Vijay will become Chief Minister": TVK Spokesperson dismisses exit poll projections Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) spokesperson Radhan Pandit on Wednesday claimed that actor-turned politician "Vijay will become the Chief Minister" and dismissed the exit poll projections released soon after the conclusion of polling for the second phase of West Bengal assembly elections."We are just ignoring these exit polls. I am sure we are going to sweep this election by above 170 or above 140. We studied very well. We had our personal survey. We are sure about a minimum 45% of vote-banking. It's not between 20-25 per cent... 108 hours to go for the election counting... 109th hour, we are going to take the oath. Our Vijay will become the Chief Minister extraordinarily...," Pandit told ANI.Actor-turned politician Vijay's TVK is set for a blockbuster performance in Tamil Nadu assembly polls, according to Axis My India exit poll, which also noted that the party is poised to get as much vote share as DMK in its debut election.
Assembly Election Exit Poll Results 2026 Live: 'BJP govt will be formed in Bengal', says Ramdas Athawale
Union Minister Ramdas Athawale on Wednesday exuded confidence that the BJP will form a governemnt in West Bengal, following the announcement of results on May 4 and highlighted the aggressive campaigning led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi.Addressing a press conference here soon after the release of exit polls, the Union Minister underlined the importance of the West Bengal elections for the BJP-led NDA."Results of 5 states (Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Assam, West Bengal) are coming on May 4... The West Bengal election is very important for us, and we have made a lot of efforts there... We have campaigned there to make Bengal Sonar Bangla. We are confident that a BJP-NDA government will be formed in West Bengal," he said.Meanwhile, BJP leader Gourav Vallabh echoed the sentiments of Ramdas Athawale."4 May TMC would be gone from Bengal, and BJP would form a good governance model.
Exit polls already show the BJP crossing 155-160 seats, and I am confident the final results will be even higher. In Assam, BJP is set for a third term with more than two-thirds of the seats, as voters have rejected Congress's dynastic politics and backed development under Himanta Biswa Sarma. In Puducherry, NDA is also on course to return. In Kerala, our vote share is doubling, and in Tamil Nadu, we expect positive results too," he said.Meanwhile, West Bengal has achieved its highest voter turnout since independence, reaching a historic 91.66 per cent during Phase II of the elections."The combined poll percentage over the two phases stands at 92.47%. Previously, the highest poll-participation in WB was 84.72% (2011 GELA), " the release from ECI said.
Assembly Election Exit Poll Results 2026 Live: 'Hopeful of historic mandate in Bengal', says BJP's Nalin Kohli
BJP leader Nalin Kohli said that the party will secure a "historic mandate" in West Bengal and said that people have come out in large numbers to vote "without fear". Speaking with media, Kohli said, "The exit poll of Assam is showing that the BJP is forming a clear majority government in Assam. About West Bengal, there has been a historic voting percentage. People have voted without fear. People who have come out in such a large number indicate that the mood is for change. We are very hopeful of a historic mandate in West Bengal and the BJP forming the government," he said. His remarks come as the pollsters, in their exit poll projections, projected Bharatiya Janata Party winning West Bengal in the 2026 Assembly elections, whose polling concluded this evening. The exit poll by Chanakya Strategies has projected 150-160 Assembly seats in the BJP's corner while placing Mamata Banerjee-led Trinamool Congress with 130-140 seats of the total 294 Assembly seats in the state.Meanwhile, other parties are being projected to win six to 10 Assembly seats in West Bengal as per Chanakya Strategies. According to exit poll projections by Matrize, the BJP is winning the West Bengal Assembly polls with 146-161, while TMC is projected to win 125 to 140 seats.
Meanwhile, as per Matrize too, other parties are being projected to win six to 10 Assembly seats in West Bengal. The exit poll by Poll Diary has projected 142 to 171 Assembly seats in the BJP's corner, while placing Mamata Banerjee's party with 99 to 127 seats in West Bengal. Meanwhile, other political parties are projected to win five to nine Assembly seats. These projections come after the final phase of polling for the high-octane West Bengal assembly elections concluded at 6 PM on Wednesday, with the voter turnout in West Bengal reaching a staggering 91.62%.
Assembly Election Exit Poll Results 2026 Live: 'BJP to get over 180 seats in Bengal', says BJP's Suvendu Adhikari
On exit poll predictions, BJP leader Suvendu Adhikari says, "BJP to get over 180 seats and will comfortably form a government in West Bengal."
Assembly Election Exit Poll Results 2026 Live: 'Exit polls are not exact polls', says Tamilisai Soundararajan
On exit polls, BJP leader Tamilisai Soundararajan says, "Exit polls are not the exact polls, we should wait for the exact polls on May 4, 2026."
Assembly Election Exit Poll Results 2026 Live: 'People of Bengal voted for development under PM Modi', says MoS Sanjay Seth
On exit polls, Union Minister of State (MoS) for Defence Sanjay Seth says, "The people of Bengal have voted for development under PM Modi. The polling percentage was almost 92 per cent, which symbolises that the people of Bengal have shown trust in PM Modi. No daughter was safe in Bengal. 4th May will be an auspicious day for Bengal."
Assembly Election Exit Poll Results 2026 Live: Exit Polls Project Return of AINRC-led NDA in Puducherry
Exit poll projections released on Wednesday indicate that the AINRC-led Nationalist Democratic Alliance (NDA) is set to secure a victory in the 2026 Puducherry Assembly elections. People Pulse estimates the NDA will win 16–19 seats in the 30-member House, while the Congress-led alliance is projected to secure 10–12 seats, with other parties picking up 0–2 seats and Vijay’s Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) failing to open its account.
Axis My India provides a similar outlook, forecasting 16–20 seats for the NDA and 6–8 seats for the Congress-led bloc. Their projections also suggest that TVK could secure 2–4 seats, with other political parties accounting for 1–3 seats. These estimates collectively point to a stable majority for the AINRC-led coalition in the Union Territory as the political landscape prepares for the final results on May 4.
Assembly Election Exit Poll Results 2026 Live: Exit Polls project return of Congress-led UDF in Kerala
Exit poll projections released on Wednesday suggest that the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) is set to win the Kerala Assembly elections, marking a potential shift in power. Axis My India has forecasted a comfortable majority for the UDF, projecting between 78 and 90 seats in the 140-member Assembly, while anticipating 49 to 62 seats for the Left Democratic Front (LDF) and 0 to 3 for the BJP-led NDA. Similarly, People's Pulse estimates 75 to 85 seats for the UDF, 55 to 60 for the LDF, and 0 to 3 for the NDA. JVC also aligns with this outlook, projecting 72 to 84 seats for the UDF, 52 to 60 for the LDF, and 3 to 8 for the NDA.
The state, which recorded a voter turnout of 78.27% during its single-phase polling on April 9, appears poised to return to its historical pattern of alternating governments. This trend was notably broken in 2021 when the LDF retained power, delivering a significant setback to the UDF. For the leaders of the Congress-led alliance, these latest projections offer a highly anticipated reversal of fortunes as they look toward the official results on May 4.
In the high-stakes Assembly Elections of 2026, the Indian National Congress (INC) and its regional alliances appeat to have a mixed bag of results, exit polls indicate. While the party is poised for a comeback in Kerala, it continues to face uphill battles in Assam and West Bengal. For a more detailed breakdown of Congress' performance in recently released exit polls, readers can click here.
Assembly Election Exit Poll Results 2026 Live: Exit Polls project return of DMK-led alliance in Tamil Nadu
Exit polls released on Wednesday indicate that the incumbent DMK-led alliance, under the leadership of Chief Minister M.K. Stalin, is poised to retain power in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Assembly elections. Projections from People Pulse estimate that the DMK alliance will secure between 125 and 145 seats in the 234-member House. In contrast, the AIADMK-led bloc is projected to trail with 65 to 80 seats. Furthermore, exit poll data suggests that actor-politician Vijay's newly formed Thamizhaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) is expected to put up a decent performance in its electoral debut, indicating a potential shift in the state's traditional political landscape.
Assembly Election Exit Poll Results 2026 Live: Exit polls predict decisive victory for BJP-led NDA in Assam
Exit polls released on Wednesday indicate that the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is poised to retain power in Assam, with projections suggesting a clear path to a third consecutive term. Axis My India has predicted that the alliance will secure between 88 and 100 seats in the 126-member Assembly, while the Congress-led coalition is expected to win 24 to 36 seats. Similarly, JVC’s projections forecast 88 to 101 seats for the BJP and 23 to 33 seats for the Congress, with the AIUDF receiving 0–2 seats and others securing up to 3.
The state, which recorded a high voter turnout of 85.38%, saw a contest between the incumbent NDA and a six-party alliance led by the Congress. Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma, who had previously suggested that the NDA could reach a "triple-digit" seat count, highlighted the enthusiastic participation across all communities as a key indicator of the electorate's engagement. While cautioning that it is early to definitively predict results, Sarma noted that both traditional and non-traditional voting groups showed increased participation, reinforcing the incumbent's optimism for a significant electoral mandate.
Assembly Election Exit Poll Results 2026 Live: BJP Assam President Dilip Saikia speaks on 'Exit Poll' projections
BJP Assam President Dilip Saikia has expressed confidence in a historic third term for the NDA in Assam, noting that voters have firmly supported the party’s focus on development, regional identity, and the leadership of Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma. While acknowledging that exit polls are not always perfect, Saikia maintained that the mandate in Assam reflects strong public approval. Turning to West Bengal, he claimed that citizens have voted decisively against 15 years of alleged corruption and "syndicate rule" under Mamata Banerjee, praising voters for participating boldly in the democratic process despite alleged attempts by the TMC to create an atmosphere of fear.
Assembly Election Exit Poll Results 2026 Live: Pollsters project BJP wresting Bengal from Mamata Banerjee with majority
In their projections via exit polls, the pollsters on Wednesday projected Bharatiya Janata Party winning West Bengal in the 2026 Assembly elections, whose polling concluded today evening. The exit poll by Chanakya Strategies has projected 150-160 Assembly seats in the BJP's corner while placing Mamata Banerjee-led Trinamool Congress with 130-140 seats of the total 294 Assembly seats in the state. Meanwhile, other parties are being projected to win six to 10 Assembly seats in West Bengal as per Chanakya Strategies.
Assembly Election Exit Poll Results 2026 Live: 'Anti-incumbency factor in Bengal indicates that anything can happen', says Congress' Udit Raj
On exit poll predictions, Congress leader Udit Raj says, “There is no truth in exit polls; the anti-incumbency factor in West Bengal indicates that anything can happen.”
Assembly Election Exit Poll Results 2026 Live: 'We're set to form govt with clear majority in Bengal', says BJP's Yogender Chandolia
On exit poll predictions, BJP leader Yogender Chandolia says “Just as the Left Front once indulged in widespread hooliganism in West Bengal and was completely wiped out by the people, unfortunately Mamata Banerjee's TMC came to power. Over the past 15 years, there has been open hooliganism, infiltration of people from Bangladesh, and severe atrocities on the public under Mamata Banerjee's rule. Her MLAs and MPs have been involved in such behavior... I believe that the exit polls we are seeing now will translate into actual results. Under the leadership of Narendra Modi, BJP is set to form the government with a clear majority on the 4th."
Assembly Election Exit Poll Results 2026 Live: Madhya Pradesh Minister Vishvas Sarang speaks on 'Exit Poll' trends
Madhya Pradesh Cooperation Minister Vishvas Sarang has expressed confidence in the current exit poll projections, stating that they reflect a nationwide desire for "double-engine" governance to drive development. According to Sarang, the trends emerging from West Bengal, Assam, and Tamil Nadu indicate that voters are increasingly supporting this model to usher in a new era of progress across these states.
NOTE: It is important to note that exit polls are statistical projections derived from voter interviews conducted immediately after individuals cast their ballots. Because these are estimates based on survey samples and not official tallies, they should be treated exclusively as indicative trends rather than definitive election outcomes.
Assembly Election Exit Poll Results 2026 Live: Bengal BJP President Samik Bhattacharya predicts TMC’s departure
West Bengal BJP President Samik Bhattacharya has asserted that the Trinamool Congress's exit from power is inevitable following the conclusion of the Assembly elections. Describing the process as a historic democratic fight rather than a simple change of government, Bhattacharya stated that voters participated with a sense of urgency to protect the state’s identity. He emphasized that the election became a unified movement for Hindu Bengalis as well as progressive and nationalist Muslims to prevent fundamental shifts in the state's character. Expressing satisfaction that the polling concluded without reports of major loss of life, he characterized the peaceful nature of the turnout as a significant achievement and a harbinger of the ruling party's defeat.
Assembly Election Exit Poll Results 2026 Live: 'Congress will perform well in Bengal', says Ajay Kumar
On exit poll predictions in West Bengal, Congress leader Ajay Kumar Lallu says, “Congress will perform well in Bengal. Exit polls are compelled to give an edge to the government.”
Assembly Election Exit Poll Results 2026 Live: 'Mamata Banerjee going on May 4th', says BJP's Samik Bhattacharya
On CM Mamata Banerjee's claim of winning with a two-thirds majority, State BJP President Samik Bhattacharya says, "If thinking about this helps someone's sleep for two days, you shouldn't have the desire to disrupt it, and neither should I. Say whatever you want. Didi is going on May 4th." On violence at some booths during polling, he says, "What is the Trinamool Congress's culture? What is its style of functioning? If someone can surround Abhaya's mother and shout such slogans, the entire country is watching. All of West Bengal is losing, the Trinamool Congress is the reason, and the whole world is seeing it."
Assembly Election Exit Poll Results 2026 Live: 'We are looking weak in Kerala', says BJP's Manoj Tiwari
On exit polls, BJP MP Manoj Tiwari says, "We are clearly ahead in Assam, West Bengal and Puducherry. The exit polls are showing the results as we had expected...We are looking weak in Kerala, but we are confident that if not today, then tomorrow, the BJP will rule there too. The exit polls in West Bengal have strengthened our confidence. I thank the people for the love they have showered on us from all sides this time..."
Assembly Election Exit Poll Results 2026 Live: 'Congress maintained that there's no need to rely on such opinion polls', says Tariq Anwar
On Exit Polls for Four States and One Union Territory Assembly Election 2026, Congress MP Tariq Anwar says, "Opinion polls cannot be fully trusted. Congress has always maintained that there is no need to rely on such polls. In Assam, reports suggest a close fight, while in Kerala, opinion has long favoured Congress. In Bengal, the BJP is being projected ahead, but we see no reason for that. The use of government machinery and central forces is worrying, raising concerns for democracy."
Exit-poll projections for the 2026 Assembly elections suggest a dominant performance for the BJP-led NDA in Assam, pointing toward a historic hat-trick of consecutive terms. In West Bengal, the results reflect a intense cliffhanger, with the TMC and BJP locked in a tight battle that remains too close to call. Meanwhile, in Tamil Nadu, the data suggests that the DMK, led by M.K. Stalin, is maintaining its electoral strength, and in Kerala, the projections indicate a likely return to power for the UDF alliance, signaling a significant shift in the state's political landscape.
Assembly Election Exit Poll Results 2026 Live: 'Change in Bengal is certain', says BJP leader Arjun Singh
On exit poll predictions in West Bengal, BJP leader Arjun Singh says, "Change in Bengal is certain, it has already come. Now it’s just a matter of counting; let the results come."
Assembly Election Exit Poll Results 2026 Live: AIADMK plus alliance projected to edge past DMK in Tamil Nadu
The latest exit‑poll data of 'Vote Vibe projection' indicates a competitive landscape in Tamil Nadu where the AIADMK+ alliance is projected to win between 114 and 124 seats (with a mid‑point of 119), edging ahead of the DMK+ alliance, which is projected to secure 103–113 seats (mid‑point of 108). Vijay’s TVK party is estimated to capture between 4 and 10 seats (mid‑point of 7), rounding out the 234‑seat total.
Assembly Election Exit Poll Results 2026 Live: Exit Polls signal strong DMK lead in Tamil Nadu, sharp shift for Vijay’s TVK
Four major exit polls project the DMK‑led alliance to win around 120 seats in Tamil Nadu, placing it in a strong position to form the next government. At the same time, projections for Vijay’s Thamizhaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) indicate the party could win between 10 and 40 seats, suggesting a potentially significant debut entry into the Assembly.
Assembly Election Exit Poll Results 2026 Live: Matrize Exit Poll predicts around 160 seats for BJP in Bengal
As per Matrize Exit Poll prediction, BJP in West Bengal likely to get 146-161 seats. Matrize Exit Poll predicts 125-140 seats for Mamata Banerjee-led Trinamool Congress (TMC) in West Bengal in 2026.
Assembly Election Exit Poll Results 2026 Live: Exit Polls Indicate Tight BJP–TMC Contest in Bengal, BJP Hat‑Trick in Assam, DMK Sweep in Tamil Nadu, UDF Return in Kerala
Exit‑poll projections for the 2026 Assembly elections suggest a closely fought battle between the BJP and TMC in West Bengal, with both parties in serious contention for power. In Assam, the BJP‑led alliance is projected to secure a third consecutive term, pointing to a potential hat‑trick. In Tamil Nadu, the DMK‑led front appears headed for a decisive win, while in Kerala the exit‑polls signal a return to power for the Congress‑led UDF bloc.
Assembly Election Exit Poll Results 2026 Live: Congress and BJP seat ranges, claims Axis My India
Puducherry’s exit‑poll projections show the Congress‑led alliance in a strong position, with Peoples Pulse estimating a seat range of 10–12 in the 30‑member Assembly. Axis My India places the Congress in the 6–8 seat band, while the BJP’s exact range is not yet specified in the available data. Other major agencies such as C‑Voter–Times Now, NDTV, CNN‑News18, India TV–Matrize, IPSOS, Jan Ki Baat and Republic have not yet released their detailed seat‑wise projections for Puducherry.
Assembly Election Exit Poll Results 2026 Live: BJP is projected to win 85-95 seats, predicts Matrize Exit Poll
In Assam, the BJP is projected to win 85-95 seats, predicted Metrize Exit poll. Congress and allies are likely to win 25-32 seats in Assam, predicts Matrize Exit Poll.
Assembly Election Exit Poll Results 2026 Live: What is the prediction of Peoples Pulse Exit Poll for West Bengal?
Peoples Pulse’s exit‑poll projection for West Bengal indicates that the Trinamool Congress (TMC) is likely to win between 177 and 187 seats in the 294‑member Assembly, signalling a decisive majority. The BJP is projected to secure between 142 and 171 seats, reflecting a strong presence but not enough to replace the ruling party.