The \u201cdeal dividend\u201d promised to Britain by Chancellor of the Exchequer Philip Hammond might be tantalizingly close amid signs an amicable divorce from the European Union could be within sight. Hammond said last week that a Brexit agreement would allow him to end austerity. Bank of England Governor Mark Carney said the economy would finally see a way through the fog after more than two years of uncertainty. There are plenty of caveats - not least that any deal between leaders still needs to go through EU and U.K. lawmakers - but here are the areas most likely to gain from a smooth split. Business Investment The BOE slashed its forecast for business investment in updated economic forecasts last week. Purchasing managers\u2019 surveys added to the dismal picture, with firms in all sectors saying Brexit is damping their outlook. Carney said companies were \u201cunderstandably\u201d delaying investment, but that removing the risk of no deal could help unleash the wave of pent-up investment referred to by Hammond in his budget speech. That scenario is reflected in the BOE\u2019s forecasts - which assume a smooth transition. It sees zero investment growth this year, but 5 percent in 2020. Inflation One of the most immediate impacts would likely come in the currency markets, which have proved sensitive to the ebb and flow of talks. Just as sterling\u2019s post-referendum plunge stoked inflation, a rally could subdue price growth. Analysts surveyed by Bloomberg last month predicted that the pound could rally about 6 percent if the U.K. strikes a deal. Bloomberg Economics calculates that would push the BOE\u2019s inflation forecast down by about 0.4 percentage point a year. What Our Economists Say. \u201cA Brexit deal could result in a sizable cyclical boost to the economy in 2019 through a number of channels. As uncertainty is lifted, some firms are likely to feel more confident about undertaking investment projects. The likely rally in the pound will expedite the recovery in household real income growth, buoying consumption. And finally, the government will be able to loosen fiscal policy -\u2013 as we have said before, that alone could lift growth by 0.3 percentage point in 2019.- Dan Hanson, Bloomberg Economics. Consumer Confidence A drop in the inflation rate would ease the pressure on U.K. consumers after a sustained period where their wages failed to keep up with price gains. That could boost consumption. While Carney said last week that consumers were less wary than businesses, confidence indexes have been dropping in recent months, with a lack of progress in talks often cited as the reason. House Prices Another source of concern for housing has been the slowing real-estate market. Tax changes and higher interest rate rises have been partly responsible, but Brexit uncertainty has played a major role. The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors\u2019 report for September showed a slump in London prices and a fifth straight month of stagnation in the U.K. as a whole, with the divorce dominating the concerns of agents in the capital. Allan Fuller of Allan Fuller Estate Agents said that \u201cthe future of the market depends almost entirely on Brexit negotiations.\u201d No Panacea A divorce deal can\u2019t overcome all the U.K.\u2019s challenges. The nation\u2019s productivity malaise will linger, and the global outlook is worsening as tensions over trade, emerging market turmoil and tighter monetary policy weigh on the expansion. Better-than-expected global growth helped boost the U.K. last year, but the reverse could be true in future years. Robert Chote, chairman of the Office for Budget Responsibility, told Parliament\u2019s Treasury Committee last week that removing the possibility of a \u201creally nasty outcome\u201d for Brexit wouldn\u2019t plausibly deliver a \u201chuge fiscal upside.\u201d Nor will that deal completely lift the fog. It only settles the departure terms, not the post-Brexit trading relationship. That\u2019s next in the negotiations, leaving room for plenty more uncertainty.