India’s 2017/18 federal budget is “fiscally prudent,” as it maintains the government’s fiscal consolidation efforts and would lead to stable economic growth if implemented correctly, a Moody’s analyst said on Wednesday.
However, the ratings agency would still need to see more evidence of the effectiveness of reforms to justify a change in its ratings stance, said Marie Diron, associate managing director of the sovereign rating group at Moody’s Investors Service.
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On Wednesday, Finance Minister Arun Jaitley presented a budget for the fiscal year beginning April 1 that increased spending on rural areas, infrastructure and fighting poverty, but keeping fiscal deficits in check. “It is a fiscally prudent budget,” Diron said in a phone interview.
“What would potentially lead to an upgrade would be evidence that these reforms that are being implemented are becoming gradually more effective in ensuring a stable and growth environment, and hence lower debt than currently.”
Moody’s rates India at “Baa3”, or its lowest-investment grade, with a “positive” outlook.