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    1. Business News
    2. Authors
    3. surjit s bhalla

    Surjit S Bhalla

    2019 election, lok sabha elections, exit poll, exit poll 2019, india, india elections, general elections, opinion news
    Lok Sabha election 2019: Is this the beginning of the end of Congress dynastic rule?

    By the strangest of coincidences, the election forecast (for BJP and Congress alone) contained in my book Citizen Raj (and…

    By Surjit S Bhalla
    May 21, 2019 00:01 IST
    Will 2019 election be another black swan event for Modi?

    Opinions vary, but not the reality. 2014 election was contested around the economy—2019 election is being fought along similar lines.…

    By Surjit S Bhalla
    May 11, 2019 01:53 IST
    A Rashomon election: How ideology blinds people from seeing plain facts

    NSSO should be again made a leader in the provision and quality of statistics, as it was under the chairmanship…

    By Surjit S Bhalla
    Updated: May 4, 2019 07:04 IST
    Is India’s unemployment really at a 45-year high? Here’s what data reveals

    Indian institutions are operating with the same mindset and technology and outlook that the pioneers did 70 years ago. But…

    By Surjit S Bhalla
    April 13, 2019 01:59 IST
    Flawed Nyay programme is political hara-kiri by Congress

    The Congress will succeed in political hara kiri—it would upset, and alienate, almost half the population, from the 21st to…

    By Surjit S Bhalla
    Updated: April 4, 2019 07:28 IST
    Congress, Congress NYAY, NYAY scheme, PAP, Rahul Gandhi, Manmohan Singh, P Chidambaram, congress scheme for poor, UPA government, 
    Congress confused over NYAY; scheme cutoff nothing but updated Tendulkar formula

    Congress consulted extensively with economists to define minimum income for NYAY—-all it did, really, was to update the tendulkar poverty…

    By Surjit S Bhalla
    Updated: March 28, 2019 07:23 IST
    Fact vs fiction — ASI data sheds light on job growth
    Fact vs fiction — ASI data sheds light on job growth

    On March 15, 2018, 108 economists and scientists released a letter titled, Economic Statistics in Shambles, published in the prestigious…

    By Surjit S Bhalla
    March 19, 2019 02:22 IST
    Bad loser? Why Congress bickers about economic data

    There is a change in the use of economic data since the 2014 election. Unlike before, misuse of economic data…

    By Surjit S Bhalla
    Updated: March 9, 2019 11:55 IST
    The Mahagathbandhan constituents see that as a real danger with the Congress. (File photo)
    Lok Sabha polls 2019: Congress ‘natural enemy’ of regional parties, alliance math is a road to nowhere

    If the national partner is small and you are big (at a state level), it is a zero-sum game—the smaller…

    By Surjit S Bhalla
    February 23, 2019 01:36 IST
    Tax and expenditure reform — a dream beginning by Modi government

    By introducing a DBT for the farmer, the govt appears to have taken the first step towards dismantling the corrupt…

    By Surjit S Bhalla
    Updated: February 2, 2019 07:09 IST
    Modi govt’s 10% quota for economically weaker sections is by far the best policy initiative for the poor, Muslims

    The downtrodden, especially those historically so, like Scheduled Castes and Scheduled Tribes, did deserve special consideration, and should have been…

    By Surjit S Bhalla
    Updated: January 12, 2019 07:08 IST
    India does not need 12 million jobs a year, but less than 5 million

    India does not need 12 million jobs a year – it needs less than 5 million. A large part of…

    By Surjit S Bhalla
    Updated: January 5, 2019 06:43 IST
    agriculture sector, agriculture industry, farmers
    Winning formula: Good economic policies help win elections, appeasement does not

    Good economic policies like cash transfers help win elections. Appeasement of minorities and the majority hurts chances.

    By Surjit S Bhalla
    Updated: December 15, 2018 08:52 IST
    Welfare benefits have created a revolution of rising expectations

    You expect more from those who deliver, and are disappointed when reality and expectations do not match. But does it…

    By Surjit S Bhalla
    December 11, 2018 02:49 IST
    Politics and fake GDP analysis – The lowering of GDP growth for FY05-FY12 was entirely to be expected

    All kinds of interpretations and conspiracy theories are floating around regarding the CSO release of the new GDP back-series for…

    By Surjit S Bhalla
    December 1, 2018 04:25 IST
    rbi, reserve bank of india
    RBI vs Finmin: Do high real interest rates hurt a fast growing economy?

    In a modern middle-income fast growing economy high real interest rates hurt the economy—and the people.

    By Surjit S Bhalla
    Updated: November 10, 2018 07:53 IST
    This is the best and an old-fashioned way for the Reserve Bank to earn genuine independence for itself

    The real question, which I will address in this and a subsequent article, is whether RBI’s policy on very high…

    By Surjit S Bhalla
    November 3, 2018 01:23 IST
    30 mn more jobs than projected? Surjit Bhalla on how correct interpretation of data can lead to the right conclusion

    Conventional wisdom of no job growth in 2017/18 is found to be a gross under-estimate by a correct interpretation of…

    By Surjit S Bhalla
    October 11, 2018 03:06 IST
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