Anuj Agarwal

Why RBI has been overestimating future inflation

Household inflation expectations have remained anchored in the sense that they haven’t been impacted much by transitory shocks.
Measures to ease traffic: How Centre, State govt can ease freight movement

While the central government is promoting alternative and multi-modal means of transport, these will take some time to get implemented. In the interim, state governments and municipalities must undertake quick-fix measures to ease traffic.
Despite all the hype, Budget 2018 was just another missed opportunity for the education sector

Budget 2018: The finance minister, in his Union Budget 2018 speech, mentioned “education” the most number of times (to be precise, 29 times), amongst other buzzwords like agriculture (26 times) and health (21 times). However, a simple fact check tells us that he didn’t really walk his talk.
Farmers and fertiliser spend: How to make nutrient-based subsidy a success

The NSSO 70th round survey estimates there are 156 million rural households in India, of which 57.8% are agricultural.
Clear energy policy a must before a clean one; Ad hoc moves will not lead India anywhere

Last year, India joined the Paris Agreement to tackle climate change. India accounts for 4.1% of global emissions, and the country opted for increased use of clean and green energy to reduce its emissions relative to GDP, rather than an outright cutting or capping of emissions.
Growth rate in India: Time for reality check on achhe din

India’s growth has been lopsided driven by government and private spending. Private sector investment hasn’t recovered sustainably for two years. Jump-starting the economy through financing growth is also not possible when banks are burdened with NPAs
RBI is an overcautious central bank; here is why it can hurt growth

A sharp fall in both retail and wholesale inflation has raised the stakes for a rate cut by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in its next monetary policy review.
Time right for Urjit Patel led RBI to cut interest rates; here’s why

RBI’s neutral stance in its latest monetary policy statement has been primarily driven by its long standing argument of “stickiness of core inflation”
Farm incomes and rural consumption: It will take time to rev-up the rural economy

Just when the rural sector was showing signs of revival, partial withdrawal of old currency notes in November last year created a dent in rural demand.
The hide and seek of India’s inflation

Further attempts to bring down headline inflation via rate hikes might actually hurt demand and stall economic recovery
India caught in two-speed growth

A broad-based economic recovery will be contingent on a sustained pick-up in private investment cycle
‘Happening Haryana’ to ‘Invest Karnataka’, states should compete for Make-in-India

The Make in India campaign should not be seen as a political stunt, but as a platform to promote competitive federalism.
Inflation: No place for complacency

RBI may have less room to cut rates next fiscal
Are Indian corporates going the Japanese way?

High corporate debt levels hindering revival of capex cycle
Invest to get demographic dividend

India will not be able to reap its full benefits unless the Make-in-India and Skill India campaigns are successfully implemented.
Don’t lose sleep over RMB devaluation

Geopolitical differences between India and China are getting stronger. Opportunities lie in enhancing bilateral investment flows
Easy solutions for Swachh Bharat

The act of cleanliness can be an economic activity, contributing to GDP, reducing healthcare costs and also a source of employment
Tap the remittance resource

Reducing cost of remittances, among other measures, will make India’s growth story inclusive in the true sense—touching Indians both within and outside the country.
Exports need a Make-in-India push

Emphasis on MSMEs and optimal use of trade agreement provisions will be critical to India’s export growth

Budget 2018

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