Amitendu Palit
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More disruptions ahead in global trade
The unpredictability of US trade policy make future trade patterns difficult to fathom
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Indian trade is stuck in non-alignment
Till now, there is no detailed study available indicating the degree of ‘damage’ in terms of loss of jobs and income if imports increase
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Trade war: The risks are different for India
While India is a lesser evil than, say, China for the US as far as its role in contributing to the US’s global trade deficit is concerned, expect H1-B clamp down, closer IP scrutiny.
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Trade war: The US scores own goal
US trade actions don’t note the complexity of modern trade in terms of its decentralised organisation across locations. Hitting a ‘made in China’ labelled item might end up inflicting more damage not on China, but on those countries that add more value to the item sold under the label, through supplies of raw materials, intermediates and scale-based processing
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Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership: Picking up some hope?
The pace picked up by the negotiations, and the quick frequency with which trade ministers have met this year, holds out hope for a deal. Even if a low-quality RCEP comes through, it will bring some cheer for the moribund world of international trade.
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Don’t write SEZs off – Here is why
The current policy of integrating existing coastal SEZs into the overarching plan of coastal development under ‘Sagarmala’ can lead to a turnaround for SEZs.
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Indian ports: Victims of inward vision?
Without transshipment, India’s port-led industrial growth strategy through Sagar Mala would remain ineffective
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Indian ports: Victim of inward vision?
It is well known that India’s domestic infrastructure is not up to the global standards. It is also a common knowledge that low quality infrastructure raises business costs and reduces global competitiveness.
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US tariffs hit WTO hard
There won’t be any shortage of appropriate domestic laws justifying retaliatory/ inspired trade action by other countries
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Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank: Challenging the credibility of Belt and Road Initiative
India will be hosting the third annual meeting of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) at Mumbai, in June this year. This is a significant occasion for various reasons.
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Belt and road initiative: Ominously, Chinese investment in South Asia target control of natural resources
Economic corridors have hardly been as controversial as China’s Belt and Road initiative (BRI). It could have avoided controversies if it had proceeded in a consultative fashion like multi-country cross-border corridors.
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Why India must review its position and gear up for constructively contributing to the global e-commerce story
E-commerce might well be the issue on which India may find its leadership of the third world in global trade matters being put to test.
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High customs duties: Earn first, make in India later
EoDB efforts notwithstanding, it will be years before India becomes as cost-competitive as a Vietnam or a Mexico.
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FTA strategy: India may well give up hope to become global manufacturing hub and exporter; here is why
If the strategy is to stay away from FTAs since they enable imports, India might as well give up hopes of becoming a global manufacturing hub and manufacturing exporter in the foreseeable future
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APEC Ministerial Meeting: Championing all shades of trade
Multilateral, bilateral and regional approaches to international trade were celebrated, respectively, by China, the US and Asia-Pacific members of the TPP11.
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Playing with China and Japan will be tough; check out the challenging choices
The circumstances in Asia are poised to experience a new competition between China and Japan, or more specifically, Xi and Abe. Both would employ economics and enhanced supply of public goods as the main planks of their efforts to engage and expand.
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India, China and Belt and Road Initiative: This is what will likely happen now
The weight other South Asian countries attach to the Chinese influence is much larger than they attach to frictionless ties with India, given these countries also run trust deficits with India.
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India struggling with cross-border data dilemma; needed a permanent cure
Governing digital trade and data flow through trade agreements faces the challenge of moving into areas that are difficult to regulate, given their overlap with other complex trade issues
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Transpacific Partnership minus the US: March of the middle in offing
Many had given up on the Transpacific Partnership after Donald Trump pulled the US out of the deal right after assuming office in January earlier this year.
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High on symbolism, low on trade
Simulations based on the liberalisation in tariffs among countries are unable to accommodate the large non-tariff barriers.
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Why Sri Lanka is struggling to trade
The Country is hobbled by the fear that trade agreements will mean much greater access for trade partners to its market than it will get to theirs in the bargain
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GST must not turn into instrument for pushing small and informal out of economic mainstream
Three weeks into the GST, the effects of a new indirect system is being felt by India. As it continues to adapt to GST, there are some distinct takeaways for the longer-term future.
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EU, Japan FTA: Why it provides credible alternative to China plans to serve its interests
EU and Japan recently reached political conclusion on an economic partnership agreement. The European Commission has described it as the ‘most important’ bilateral trade agreement concluded by the EU.
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US H1B visa: Donald Trump will not budge given adverse domestic sentiments
Notwithstanding geopolitical convergences and strong ties on defence and security, US won’t budge on mobility and H1B visas given adverse domestic sentiments.
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Global e-commerce: China funded digital connectivity in OBOR has massive implications
China-funded digital connectivity in OBOR geographies has massive implications for global e-com.
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How Centre’s new procurement policy to boost Make in India could make India run afoul of multilateral trade framework
The ever-larger presence of the State in the Indian economy is driven home again by the recently approved public procurement policy for local goods for boosting ‘Make in India’.
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Globalisation should recover faster now that Brexit, US polls blows are in the past
Emmanuel Macron’s victory in the French Presidential elections is being described as the triumph of globalisation over nationalism.
