But the rain gods have been munificent elsewhere, raising the prospect of bumper kharif and rabi crops. Heavy rains in July followed by a gradual slowing helps the kharif or summer crop to mature and strengthen expectations of a harvest of plenty. The benefits of all this are expected to be witnessed during the current festival season, which also coincides with the harvesting season and there is more purchasing power in the hands of farmers. The recharge of soil moisture clears the ground for a good rabi crop as well although this is less rain-dependant than the summer crop. The prosperous grainbelt of Punjab, Haryana and western Uttar Pradesh which produce much of Indias foodgrain surpluses depend mainly on canal irrigation. Clearly, a good kharif and rabi crop makes the overall arithmetic of GDP growth appear more respectable. According to a columnist of this newspaper, Saumitra Chaudhuri, growth of up to 9 per cent is not beyond the feasible. Even the Reserve Bank of India is expected to revise its earlier growth forecast upwards in its busy season credit policy in October. In terms of quarterly growth, however, these good tidings may not be reflected in first quarter GDP growth this fiscal but only in the remaining quarters. Of course, not all of this can be attributed to the monsoon, but there is no doubt that a feel-good factor is back in the air.