"It is too early to say. I had discussion yesterday with Met officials. They said they will be able to come out with monsoon forecast in second week of April," Pawar told reporters replying to a query on monsoon forecast for 2014.
On concerns over El Nino conditions, he said, "Our Met Department is seriously concentrating on this subject. This type of situation we have seen in 2009 as well. But whatever assessment made by experts about this issue, they said it will not be that severe which will impact overall production and productivity. But still, we are keeping a close eye (on it)."
El Nino refers to the warming of ocean water in the central and east Pacific and cooling of West. This condition occurs every 4 to 12 years. It had last hit India's monsoon in 2009, leading to worst drought in nearly four decades.
Addressing the Kharif 2014 Conference, Pawar said that the country may surpass the agriculture growth target of 4 per cent during the 12th Five Year Plan (2012-17).
Speaking on the sidelines of the conference, Pawar expressed concern that India's agriculture is still dependent on vagaries of monsoon and asked farm scientists to develop drought resistant varieties.
"Whether we like it or not, uncertainty of rains seems to be a permanent problem to this country. Our scientists have to develop certain varieties which are resistant to various types of stress particularly during delayed monsoon."
Scientists are developing such varieties but they need to focus more, he added.
Earlier, Agriculture Commissioner J S Sandhu said that the government must be prepared for delayed and deficient monsoon this year in the backdrop of private agencies predicting below normal monsoon for India.