Icra, which reviewed the performance of the Indian automobile industry till August-end this fiscal, pointed out that sales in the first five months had already been impacted by many factors.
The sales growth of the passenger car industry during the first five months of FY2006 was impacted by various factors such as increase in vehicle prices by select players, increase in fuel prices, introduction of Vat and floods in select regions, it said.
Car sales during the April-August 2005 period managed to grow only in single digits, Y-o-Y, up 5.3% at 3,32,159 units.
Sounding caution in its outlook, Icra said: In the short term, any increase in vehicle prices, indications of hardening of interest rates and further increase in fuel prices are the key risk factors that may impact growth rates in domestic sales volumes of passenger cars.
The rating agency said the growth in the domestic sales of passenger cars was led by strong volumes reported by compact and mid-size segments even as the mini-segment reported a sharp 34.6% decline during the period under review.
Share of compact cars in the domestic car sales increased from 59.7% in April-August04 to 64.9% in the same period this fiscal, while mid-size increased from 20.5% to 22% even as the share of premium car remained stagnant at 0.7%.