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BNP Paribas sees stronger India macro backdrop, flags oil and monsoon risks

India shows 6 signs of growth momentum, but there are 2 big risks

India’s economy seen improving as manufacturing, credit and capex gain momentum, while oil and monsoons pose risks

Updated: August 26, 2026 17:16 IST

India’s Balance of Payments Slips into $8.1 Billion Deficit in Q1 FY27 Amid Rising Trade Deficit

CAD widens moderately in Q1, $8-billion drawn down from reserves

Position improved since, with robust capital inflows

August 14, 2026 23:51 IST

Rupee: Why India’s currency is not appreciating despite RBI’s rescue package

Despite RBI’s rescue package, the Indian rupee remains under pressure. Experts explain why the domestic currency is struggling to appreciate.

Updated: July 29, 2026 17:56 IST

India's trade deficit widens to 8-month high

Why India’s massive $30.4 billion trade deficit could persist despite falling gold imports

India’s trade deficit may stay high as electronics, chemicals and oil offset lower gold imports. Read what could shape FY27.

Updated: July 14, 2026 13:02 IST

Crude below $75: What Brent’s sharp drop means for India’s FY27 Inflation and GDP runway

Brent below $75 could ease India’s FY27 inflation, CAD and growth risks if prices hold; see what economists expect next.

June 27, 2026 14:32 IST

India current account surplus, services exports, remittances, trade deficit, foreign direct investment, foreign portfolio investment, foreign exchange reserves, RBI data, FY26, capital flows

India records $7.1 billion Q4 surplus, holding full-year deficit to 0.6% of GDP

India’s current account surplus hit $7.1 billion in Q4 FY26 driven by strong services exports and remittances despite a wider…

June 8, 2026 19:52 IST

India in capital pain – Kotak sees account deficit widening as inflows remain weak amid PE/VC exits

Analyst expects India’s CAD to widen sharply in FY27 as weak capital inflows, rising PE/VC exits and muted FPI flows…

May 27, 2026 10:58 IST

Goldman Sachs raises India GDP growth forecast to 6.9%

Goldman Sachs raises India GDP forecast to 6.9% after India-US trade deal, see tariff relief boosting growth

Goldman Sachs has raised India’s 2026 GDP growth forecast to 6.9% after US tariffs on Indian exports were cut to…

February 9, 2026 14:12 IST

CAD moderates to 1.3% in Q2, reserves dip by $10.9 bn

Concerns resurface amid widening trade deficit, FPI outflows.

December 1, 2025 20:30 IST

Israel-Iran conflict, geopolitical tension, Indian economy, crude oil, crude oil prices, inflation, fiscal deficit, current account deficit, RBI, rate cut decision, oil import

Can the Israel-Iran conflict impact India’s inflation and fiscal deficit situation- Read all details here

Economists said that the escalating tensions in the Middle East will have a key potential economic impact in India if…

April 17, 2024 13:16 IST

Q3 CAD at $10.5 bn: FY23-24 current account estimated at $35 billion or 1% of GDP on growing merchandise, service exports, says Barclays

Barclays maintained its forecasts for the annual current account at $35 billion or 1 per cent of the GDP in…

March 27, 2024 15:19 IST

RBI, RBI MPC, interest rate, repo rate, Shaktikanta Das, inflation, GDP growth, current account deficit, rate cut

India’s current account deficit declines to $10.5 billion in Q3, says RBI

Per the data released by RBI, the CAD in the October-December quarter amounted to 1.2 per cent of India’s GDP.

March 26, 2024 19:16 IST

exports, merchandise exports, Red Sea, global tensions, depreciating rupee, merchandise imports, trade deficit, services exports, trade account deficit, global headwinds

India’s exports resilient in face of unfavourable conditions, says CRISIL; will it sustain?

Despite disruption in trade caused by strife around the Red Sea, exports have fared better than expected. This can be…

February 19, 2024 14:37 IST

RBI, current account deficit, GDP, top news, business news, latest news,

CAD narrows to 1% in Q2, seen to widen in current quarter

Weak capital inflows in Sept quarter; accretion to reserves just $2.5 billion.

Updated: December 26, 2023 22:51 IST

India, Indian economy, merchandise exports, exports, CAD, US import, US Fed, services imports, ICICI Securities, global economy, commodity prices

India ahead of rest of Asia: India’s merchandise exports up 6.2% YoY in Oct 2023, likely to enable narrower CAD in FY24

Prasenjit Basu and Laavanya Sisaudia, analysts and economists at ICICI Securities, said, “Given the broad based cyclical rebound in engineering…

November 29, 2023 13:09 IST

trade deficit, CAD, service surplus, imports, commodity prices, commodities, exports, crude oil price, GDP growth, geopolitical tensions, World Bank

Economists say India’s Sep trade deficit narrowing to $19.37 bn augurs well for CAD for Q2FY24

Economists said that while narrower-than-expected merchandise trade deficit print augurs well for the current account deficit for Q2 FY2024, crude…

October 18, 2023 14:21 IST

private capex, government capex, fixed assets, investments, manufacturing companies, Atmanirbhar Bharat, capacity utilisation, corporate profitability, commercial sector, economic growth

Economists revise CAD estimates for FY24 after it narrowed to 1.1% in Q1

The sequential widening of the CAD to $9.2 billion in Q1FY24 from $1.3 billion in Q4FY23 was mainly due to…

October 3, 2023 14:35 IST

CRISIL says decline in India’s growth slowing down; projects CAD to soften to 1.8% this fiscal

The CRISIL report said that the overall goods exports remain under pressure as global growth is softening and purchasing power…

September 25, 2023 08:24 IST

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