The Rio Olympics in August will give Brazil’s battered economy only a limited shot in the arm, Moody’s credit rating service said Monday.
“Rio de Janeiro’s upcoming summer Olympic games will give the city some lasting infrastructure improvements, as well as a temporary boost in tax revenues, but once the events are over, the country will wake up once again to its deepening recession,” Moody’s Investors Service said in a report.
Spending USD 7.1 billion on infrastructure around Rio will equal all spending for 12 cities during Brazil’s hosting of the 2014 World Cup, the report added.
With Brazil set to remain in deep recession throughout this year, however, the Games will not change the underlying weaknesses, Moody’s said.
One of the biggest injections into the economy — construction spending — is already almost over, the report noted.
Sectors set to get a big lift from the 350,000 tourists and 10,000 athletes the government expects in August include broadcasters such as Globo, which will broadcast all events, and card payment processors like Brazil’s Cielo.
Car rental companies will be another big winner, especially the official Games company, Localiza Rent a Car, Moody’s said.
On a longer-lasting scale, Rio should benefit from major transport projects, the ratings company said, including a fourth metro line linking the Olympic Park area in Barra to the wealthy south of Rio, and a tram line in the center.
However, the future of a much-heralded express bus system linking the south of the city to the Deodoro Olympic hub is shakier, Moody’s said.
“The commercial prospects of this project are less certain,” the report said. “While we expect the motorway will be used heavily during the games, it is unclear whether high traffic volumes over this less economically developed area can be sustained during the medium to long term.