Gold price holds near 10-week high as equities fall further

Reuters Posted online: Monday, Jan 27, 2014 at 0000 hrs
Singapore : Gold price held firm on Monday after hitting ten-week highs overnight on weakness in global stocks, but gains were limited as traders took to the sidelines ahead of a key Federal Reserve meeting this week.

Concerns about China's economic slowdown and its shadow banking sector, coupled with expectations the Federal Reserve would scale back its bond buying further, are piling pressure on emerging markets dependent on external financing.

Spot gold was at $1,270.50 an ounce by 1020 GMT, up 0.1 percent, having hit its highest since mid-November overnight at $1,278.01 an ounce. U.S. gold futures for February delivery were up $6 an ounce at $1,270.30.

A 2.3 percent drop in world stocks last week helped push gold higher for a fifth straight week -- its longest run of weekly gains since mid-2012 -- but the market struggled to make further gains at the start of the week ahead of a two-day Fed policy meeting beginning Tuesday.

"It seems a break-out to the 1300-1330 mark is on hold for now, but it depends on what happens with the Fed this week," Mitsubishi analyst Jonathan Butler said. "The consensus is that there'll be a further round of $10 billion a month tapering. If there's anything less than that, gold could move higher as speculators move in."

The Fed has already decided to trim its $85 billion a month bond buying programme by $10 billion a month.

Expectations that the Fed could withdraw monetary stimulus this week lifted the dollar on Monday, while safe-haven currencies like the yen and the Swiss franc were much in demand as an emerging markets sell-off continued.

In the longer term, any recovery in equities would be likely to curb gains in the precious metal, Butler said.

"This setback in the equities market and this risk-off mentality overall isn't going to endure in the medium term," he said. "Once we see more positive U.S. data and positive earnings that will weigh on gold once again."

CHINESE DEMAND EASES

China's net gold imports from Hong Kong rose 24 percent in December from the previous month, the Hong Kong Census and Statistics Department said on Monday, bringing the total purchases for 2013 to a record 1,158 tonnes.

Net gold flows into China, the world's biggest gold consumer, climbed to 94.847 tonnes in December from 76.393 tonnes in November, it said.

With the recent rally in gold prices, purchases from China - the world's biggest gold consumer - slowed on Monday with volumes lower than Friday's. Premiums for 99.99 percent purity gold on the Shanghai Gold Exchange steadied at about $10 to London prices, after falling earlier to $7.

"With the imminent Chinese New Year holiday beginning, demand will likely waver later in the week," bullion dealer MKS said in a note on Monday.

More positively for gold, India's finance ministry said it will review its tight curbs on gold imports by the end of March.

India used to be the world's biggest buyer of bullion until last year when a swollen current account deficit prompted the government to slap a record 10 percent duty on imports and the central bank to tie imports to exports.

On Friday data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission showed that speculators boosted their length in gold in the week to Jan. 21, though they slashed their net long positions in silver.

Silver was up 0.5 percent at $19.95 an ounce. Among other precious metals, spot platinum was down 0.5 percent at $1,416.25 an ounce, while spot palladium was down 0.6 percent at $727.22 an ounce.