US Fedís decision to taper 10 billion has led to weakness in the emerging markets currencies.
However, a year-end coupled with improved current account outlook and active intervention from the central bank means that Indian rupee might not weaken the way it did in summer.
We expect Indian rupee in a range of 61.00 to 64.00 and this should play out over the medium-term, with markets within 61.70/63.30 range for most of that time.
By Anindya Banerjee, currency analyst, Kotak Securities
NOTE: Views are of author alone.