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The long journey from Joi Bangla to Zia’s Bangla
Kuldip
Nayar
Even if history repeats itself, it is nowhere so true as in
Bangladesh. One of the two women, Khaleda Zia and Sheikh Hasina
Wajed, alternately come to head the country and indulge in
the same rhetoric, make the same promises and weave the same
dreams. This time it is Khaleda Zia’s turn. Her Bangladesh
Nationalist Party (BNP) has won a majority in the 300-member
House. When in power, Sheikh Hasina had appealed to Begum
Khaleda to return to the Jatiya Sangsad (Parliament) which
the latter had boycotted. Now Begum Khaleda, the Prime Minister,
has requested Sheikh Hasina to join the new Parliament. “We
can resolve problems through discussions,” she said. More
or less, Sheikh Hasina had used the same words while she pleaded
for co-operation.
In her response, Sheikh Hasina has gone a step further. She
has even refused to take oath, along with Awami League’s 63
elected members. Begum Khaleda had at least joined Parliament,
although she had stayed away from it. On her part, Sheikh
Hasina wants fresh elections, a demand which the Election
Commission has rejected.
Indeed, people have made their choice. The verdict in favour
of Khaleda Zia is so massive that it is churlish to deny it.
Some rigging may have been there. This time the violence—200
people were killed during the campaign— may also have influenced
the outcome to some extent. Still, there is no doubting Begum
Khaleda’s majority. It is apparent what gave her the advantage
was Sheikh Hasina’s non-performance, the incumbency factor.
Even the whipping boy, India, was mentioned very little during
the electioneering. Begum Khaleda played the religious card
and sustained the posture when she recited a verse from the
Koran when she took oath of office. Her equivocal stand on
the Taliban too paid her dividends in the election. But her
poll alliance with the Jamiat-i-Islami made it clear that
she wanted to look more Islamic than her opponent in a country
which is predominantly Muslim. She may change the Constitution
to facilitate the introduction of Islamic Shariat as the basis
for legislation.
It will, however, be a tragedy if Bangladesh goes that way.
Despite being a Muslim majority state, it is a pluralistic
society with one million Hindus. Even culturally the society
is open and liberal because of the composite nature of the
Bengali language as well as the society. Begum Khaleda may
still tilt towards fundamentalism to placate the extremists
on her side. But she would be sowing the same kind of seeds
which Zulfiqar Ali Bhutto did when he came to power in Pakistan
in 1972. He had declared the Ahmedias non-Muslims. The seed
bore fruit in the shape of nettle, the Taliban. An anti-Hindu
campaign has already started in Bangladesh.
During my visit to Bangladesh some eight months ago I could
see fundamentalism gaining ground. Mosques and madrassas were
coming up at every conceivable place. Fanaticism had claimed
the lives of three communists a few days before. The intelligentsia
is aware of the danger. Still, they feel helpless. The question
they ask themselves is whether there is a way out of the situation.
The answer lies in injecting a bigger dose of liberalism into
the body politic. This means Begum Khaleda must join issue
with the fundamentalists. Can she do it when she has cobbled
together a coalition with their help? With the avowed hostility
of the Opposition, her options are few.
Still, this is the time for Begum Khaleda to establish her
credentials. She has assured the minority communities to perform
their religious rites without fear. The Hindus fear the blandishment
of her ally, the Jamiat. There is little difference between
terrorists and fundamentalists. She should know that one thing
which went against the Awami League was the charge of harbouring
terrorists.
Begum Khaleda also needs to erase her anti-India image. She
has been guarded in her speeches and wants to improve relations
with India. When I met her in Dhaka early this year she argued
with me that her pronouncements were misunderstood by New
Delhi. “Let me come to power. I shall prove that I have no
hostility against your country,” she told me. One BNP leader
present at the meeting said that rhetoric should not be confused
with policy.
That may be true. But her reservations on the Ganga water
treaty and the Chittagong Hill Tract accord—the two outstanding
things to Sheikh Hasina’s credit—indicate that she has a vested
interest in maintaining support in the anti-India segment
of the population. For example, New Delhi wants access to
its north-eastern states through Bangladesh. Begum Khaleda
may not readily agree to that. On the other hand, she may
be more amenable than Sheikh Hasina and agree to sell natural
gas to India. The BNP leadership has reportedly said that
it would favourably think about selling gas.
New Delhi is a bit disappointed over Sheikh Hasina’s defeat
because she was seen as piloting Bangladesh to a liberal and
accommodative course. Her uncompromising stand against fundamentalists
had won her appreciation in India. Of course, her plus point
is that she is the daughter of Sheikh Mujib-ur-Rahman, father
of the nation, who fostered close relations with India.
Times have changed. New Delhi has to change its policy of
likes and dislikes. It must let the BNP feel that India wants
to have as firm relations with the party as it had with the
Awami League. Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee has done
well to invite Begum Khaleda to India. Economic ties should
have precedence. We helped Bangladesh liberate itself. Subsequently,
we washed our hands of the country lest we looked too friendly.
How was Bangladesh, with a basketful of troubles, supposed
to come up? Soon after its birth, there was a joint high-powered
committee to draft plans for it which would dovetail into
India’s development programmes. Nothing came of it because
the Pakistan-trained bureaucracy at Dhaka and the mindset
at Delhi did not allow anything to germinate even on favourable
ground soon after the end of Islamabad’s rule.
There is no doubt that the liberals in Bangladesh would have
preferred Sheikh Hasina to Khaleda Zia because they fear that
the old atmosphere of anti-liberation and communalism may
revisit them. “I want one more term,” Sheikh Hasina once told
me. “Then I will be sure that liberal democracy in my country
is on a firm footing.” What she probably meant, among other
things, was that the sentence against the killers of Mujib
would have been carried out by that time because their final
appeals were still pending before the courts. For some reasons,
it was taken for granted that they would be released if the
BNP came to power. If this happens, the complicity of Khaleda
Zia’s supporters in the bloody events of those days will stand
proved. Sheikh Hasina’s hostility to Khaleda Zia is understandable
but not to her policy. One does not have to remind her of
the unilateral promise she made, when in power, that her party
in the Opposition would not resort to strikes, bandhs or boycotts
because such things had an adverse effects on Bangladesh.
She must live up to her promise. Otherwise, she would be blamed
for not letting the government go on with its business.
Sometimes I fear that history may say that the travails of
Bangladesh were because of the hostility between the two women
who, in the process of destroying each other, nearly destroyed
their
country.
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