Yen takes a hit as
Japan’s economy teeters
London, June 11: The yen fell more than half a per cent
to 2-1/2 week lows against the dollar and two week lows versus the
euro on Monday as data suggested Japan was once again flirting with
recession.
Japan’s economy contracted 0.2 per cent in the first three months
of this year, compared with expectations of a 0.2 per cent rise.
The figures raised fears that the economy is slipping into its fourth
recession in a decade and pushed Japanese stocks down 1-1/2 per
cent.
“The weaker-than-expected Japanese data has fuelled fears of a recession,
hitting both the Nikkei stock index and the yen,” said Nick Stamenkovic,
senior strategist at Nomura International in London.
“The market is worried about the deteriorating Japanese economy
and this is taking a toll on the yen.” The yen weakened beyond 121.60
to the dollar, down over half a per cent on the day. It also weakened
as far as 103.80 per euro, before paring losses, almost four yen
below the five-month peaks set against the euro earlier this month.
The euro was marginally weaker against the dollar, just below $0.85,
having shown a muted reaction to Friday’s rejection by Irish voters
of the Nice treaty on European Union enlargement.
Meanwhile, sterling recovered almost one per cent from Friday’s
15-year lows against the dollar as newspaper reports dampened speculation
over Britain’s early entry into the euro.
Japan’s GDP numbers showed business investment was slipping following
a cooling in exports to key markets such as the United States and
Asia, while consumer spending stalled and prices fell.
Capital spending fell 1.0 per cent while private consumption was
unchanged on the quarter, which came as a surprise as analysts had
predicted some strength.
“The GDP data were pretty horrible and sparked yen selling across
the board,” said Jesper Dannesboe, chief foreign exchange strategist
at Dresdner Kleinwort Benson. Traders said the weaker-than-expected
growth data had put Japan’s economic fundamentals back in the spotlight,
with all eyes now focused on how the data would affect the government’s
economic assessment in its monthly economic report for June, due
later this week.
Takashi Imai, the head of Japan’s most influential business group
the Keidenren, said on Monday the Japanese economy could contract
over the next two to three years.
But Bank of Japan governor Masaru Hayami sounded a calm note, saying
the GDP data were within expectations and he saw no need for a further
easing of the central bank’s ultra-loose monetary policy.
Japanese economics minister Heizo Takenaka also tried to put a positive
spin on the numbers, saying he did not see a danger of a downward
spiral but warned it would be difficult for Japan to meet the government’s
1.7 per cent growth target for the new fiscal year.
Sterling bounced off last week’s 15-year lows against the dollar,
helped by a weekend press report that British chancellor Brown has
urged new foreign secretary Jack Straw to curb his department’s
enthusiasm for the UK’s early euro entry.
Straw is perceived as more of a euro sceptic than his predecessor
at the foreign office, Mr Robin Cook.
-- Reuters
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