Caracas, Nov 26: OPEC president Ali Rodriguez said that the exporters' cartel has agreed to create a new global oil benchmark, to challenge speculation on futures markets, which he claimed was responsible for distorting prices.However, oil industry analysts poured cold water on the idea, accusing the 11-member group of trying to turn back the clock on a huge financial derivatives market.
The crude oils now used as a reference price for the world's market of 76 million barrels per day (bpd) - Brent Blend, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) and Dubai - represent just 1 million bpd of output, Mr Rodriguez told a university forum. "We want to create a new basket (of crude oils) to be used as a global benchmark in order to reduce the very high levels of speculation," said Mr Rodriguez, who is also Venezuelan energy and mines minister. "The idea has already been accepted unanimously in OPEC and we are talking to some consumers, who welcome it," he added. OPEC this year set a price target of $22 to $28 per barrel, but has been unable to push prices down into this range, despite four output hikes this year. The cartel blames speculation for keeping prices consistently above $30 per barrel, while futures traders say the high prices reflect concern about possible shortages of some refined products in the US this winter, and the Arab-Israeli conflict. Mr Rodriguez said he would make the benchmark a priorityonce he becomes OPEC Secretary-General on Jan 1. The new basket could include OPEC crudes and oil from countries outside the cartel, he added.
Industry analysts were sceptical, saying any new benchmark must be based on a single type of freely-traded crude oil. Some OPEC countries do not allow trading of their crude oil on open markets. The aging cartel would find it hard to generate sufficient liquidity in any new benchmark, they added, to compete with a multibillion dollar market in financial derivatives, where prices are now decided by means of futures, swaps and options. OPEC gave up the power to set the price of its exports during the oil shocks of the `70s, when it adopted new benchmarks.
(Reuters)
Copyright © 2000 Indian Express Newspapers (Bombay) Ltd.