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Asian markets after the storm
More than 55 per cent of the world’s population live in the
countries of the Asian markets of Japan, China, Hong Kong,
SAR, India, Indonesia, Korea, Malayasia,the Philippines, Singapore,
Taiwan, Thailand and Vietnam, although their share of GDP
is much lower, amounting to slightly less than a quarter.
In terms of insurance, these markets account for 15 per cent
of global non life business and 38 per cent of life insurance
premiums. The lion’s share (74 per cent and 83 per cent respectively
is generated by Japan).
Asians spend more than three times as much on life insurance
than on non life coverage. The important role of life insurance
reflects the rudimentary state of government-sponsored social
security schemes. Markets in India, Vietnam and China are
highly concentrated, whereas the Hong Kong , Malayasia, Singapore
and Indonesian markets are highly fragmented, comprising a
large number of small providers. Foreign companies account
for 6.8 per cent of Asia’s non life business and 6.2 per cent
of its life insurance premiums. They boast the highest marketshares
in in Hong Kong, Singapore, Thailand, the Phillipines and
Indonesia.
Between 1990 and 1997, the Asia 11 (excluding Japan) country
group’s non life and life insurance markets both grew at an
average real growth rate of around 13 per cent. Life insurance
in China, Indonesia and Japan registered growth rates of 20
per cent. Following the massive depreciation of the Thai Baht
in July 1997, however, most countries in that region were
dragged into an unprecedented economic and financial crisis.
This turmoil has taken its toll on insurers who were faced
with sharply declining premium volumes, severe balance sheet
deterioration due to the asset meltdown and increasing loss
ratios.
After bottoming out, the Asia 11 country group’s non life
markets are expected to grow at a real average rate of 7 per
cent between 1999 and 2005, and life insurance at 8 per cent.
Japan’s growth prospects are more bleak, however, given the
nation’s prolonged economic slump and Big Bang -related reforms.
In addition, there will be other major changes that will shape
the competitive landscape of the Asian insurance markets.First,
more intense foreign competition will emerge in most countries
driven not only by the WTO liberalisation process, but also
by recapitalisation requirements.
Secondly, the moves towards consolidation will accelerate
against the backdrop of fiercer foreign competition, the fragmented
character of some Southeast Asian markets and the continuing
weakness of many insurers’ balance sheets.
Thirdly,an increasing number of countries will adopt a more
solvency-oriented approach towards de-regulation,gradually
dismantling tariffs and product-related restrictions. And
finally, insurers will put more emphasis on cost effective
and innovative forms of distribution like bancassurance and
direct sales to hold their own in an increasingly competitive
and less-regulated environment.
Excerpt from Sigma, 1999, Swiss Re.
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