Corporate Results of over 2500 companies Tuesday, October 26, 1999
fesub.gif (4328 bytes)
Elections 99
fe.gif (834 bytes) flnews.gif (5153 bytes)
Search FE
-
Download
BSE Quotes
NSE Quotes
-
Think Tank
This week we focus on a complete analysis of the
diamond industry
-
 

Cyclical shift 

 
For a change, since late August the foreign investment flows have turned the other way. While since November 1998 there had been a steady inflow into the Indian markets, there has been significant selling from FIIs in September this year, a trend which has accelerated in October. Until Friday, October 22, FIIs have sold over Rs 520 crore worth of stocks with more sales being pressed on Monday. All the FMCG, pharmaceuticals and software stocks that were the beneficiaries of FII investment-largesse are now bearing the brunt of the selling.

The moot point from the point of view of domestic investors is whether or not there is a fundamental shift in perception over the Indian economy. That does not seem to be the case. Profit-taking is the prime mover of the FII outflow. The FIIs were big contrarian buyers during the height of the political uncertainty and considering that the market indices have risen by 50 per cent since then a little profit taking should not be considered strange.

Few of the reasons for FII selling have anything to do with the long-term fundamentals of the economy. Software companies are reporting slower growth due to postponement of software development until next year by global companies, but this should pick up next year again. Similarly some pharma companies have hit a bad patch which is out of line with their longer term fundamentals. For the moment their portfolio is being re-shuffled in favour of cyclicals.

In the wake of FII selling the market's interest is also shifting away from these sectors and into cyclical stocks. And the earnings growth being shown by that segment of companies bears out the demand for sectors such as cement, automobiles and petrochemicals.

Copyright © 1999 Indian Express Newspapers (Bombay) Ltd.

- Lead Stories | Corporate | Infrastructure | Commodities | Economy/Finance | BSE Today | NSE/ Markets | Strategy | Convergence | After Hours top.gif (150 bytes)Top
flame.jpg (1068 bytes) © Copyright 1999: Indian Express Newspaper(Bombay) Ltd. All rights reserved throughout the world.
This entire edition is compiled in Mumbai by The Indian Express Online Media Limited, a division of
The Indian Express Group of Newspapers. Managed by The Indian Express Online Media Limited and hosted by CerfNet.