Mumbai, Aug 18: ICICI Securities (I-Sec) expects comfortable liquidity conditions to prevail in the remianing part of the current financial year. The latest I-Sec debt market update, released on Tuesday, said that if growth in corporate demand is less than 15 per cent, there are expectations of another liquidity-led rally in gilts during the last quarter of 1999-2000."As we approach the busy season, it is time to access the expected liquidity balance in the banking system. The net borrowing programme has been completed to the extent of 84 per cent of the budgeted figure. If we add an estimated Rs 7,000 crore of borrowings by states,gross inflows exceed outflows by Rs 13,338 crore," the debt market report said.
The I-Sec report said that the considering the current macro economic outlook which looks somewhat better, the investment banking arm of ICICI said that it was expecting a 20 per cent growth in corporate offtake from the banking system in this fiscal. During the current fiscal till July 31, theoutflow from the banking system on account of non-food credit and corporate investement was to the tune of Rs 4,100 crore while for the whole year the incremental outflow is expected to be Rs 68,000 crore.
I-Sec has estimated a Rs 1,00,000 crore increase in the deposit base in 1999-2000. "Growth till July 31 has amounted to Rs 31,485 crore. The balance Rs 70,000 crore is expected to ensure comfortable liquidity particularly as RBI can reduce 1-1.5 per cent of cash reserve ratio (CRR).
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