
The Indian Express

The Financial Express

Latest News

EIW

Market Indicators

Screen


Celebrity Chat

Express Computers

Express Power

Letters

Advertisers Forum




Business Forum

Match Makers

Express Properties

Palki - Travel & Tours

Information Technology

Astrosurf

Eco-India

Dr Know

Morning Digest

Express Greeting

Graffiti

Drumbeat: Ad Buzzaar
|

| |
Monday, November 9, 1998
Assured trouble
First came the scare about Unit `64; now it is the turn of horror stories about the assured return schemes run by UTI and public sector banks. On both occasions, the finance minister was out of the country. The government's response this time too will come with a lag. But unlike in the case of Unit `64, the assured return schemes permit no exit. There is, therefore, no question of a flood of repurchase offers. Besides, the record of public sector institutions (eg. LIC, GIC and Canara Bank) in returning the principal in full and timely payment of interest (on schemes with badly eroded NAV) has been excellent. So, it is unlikely that investors who put their money in the schemes reportedly in trouble will panic. Even so, the government will do well to reassure investors. At stake is investor confidence in current and future assured return schemes. True, the new schemes are strong, thanks to Sebi guidelines mandating heavy investment in debt instruments. But this must be publicised anew in view of reports thatthe development reserve fund backing the new and old schemes are getting slender by the day. As a regulator, Sebi has a major responsibility in clarifying issues, especially since fears about assured return schemes have stemmed from an audit report to it.But how many of the sixty schemes -- launched before Sebi guidelines came into force -- which have been now audited are in trouble: a third or all sixty? How badly off is each scheme in terms of the mix of exposure to debt instruments and equities? Clearly, those with excessive exposure to equity are in trouble. But share prices may rise before the repayment of principal falls due; or they may not. UTI and public sector banks face a worrisome prospect. But the problem could be exaggerated since available reports are based on snatches of the USAID-sponsored audit by Price Waterhouse. Besides, judging by indications that the deficit in the schemes is of the order of Rs 3,000 crore, it should not be difficult to clean up accounts, with (in the last resort)capital from the government, though this will certainly add to the fiscal deficit. The assured return schemes facing trouble were floated in 1994 (or earlier) in the expectation that equities would give dazzling rewards, with corporate performance scaling new peaks each successive year. That expectation has suffered a massive setback, and the current mood, reflected in the audit report, views the chances of a turnaround to be slim. The finances of Unit Trust and the sponsoring banks will get a big jolt if they take over the underperforming assets of the concerned schemes on maturity. The government will have to bail them out. Copyright © 1998 Indian Express Newspapers (Bombay) Ltd.

Top
|
|
|






Printer-friendly page |
|