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Tuesday, September 22, 1998

Unlock gold assets 

 
While most of the developed world has been lately witnessing a steep fall in the demand for gold, leading to a fall in price of the precious metal, lower prices seems to be attracting more buyers in India. India is the largest consumer of gold jewellery in the world and the recent liberalisation of gold imports has only whetted the average Indian's appetite for the yellow metal. It was believed that liberalising gold imports would serve two important purposes. One, it would help to bring down smuggling and gold-related havala transactions. Two, it would give a thrust to the exports of gold fabricated products. While the first purpose appears to have been served, the same cannot be said about the second.

Jewellery fabrication in the country has more than doubled since 1993 but the exports' share of fabrication has come down from 7.8 per cent in 1993 to 5.8 per cent in 1997. Though the demand for gold has been buoyant in other Asian countries like China, Thailand, Vietnam and Japan, it is largely a result ofbar hoarding than demand for jewellery. The rise in bar hoarding in these countries has an economic rationale. Actual devaluation or fears of a possible devaluation of the currencies of these countries led investors to buy huge quantities of gold to hedge themselves from currency risk. As and when the crisis comes to an end, most of this gold will find its way into the international market once again and the proceeds from the sale of the gold will be used to finance productive activity. However, this is unlikely to happen in India as most of the gold purchases are converted into jewellery for personal use. Thus, a considerable portion of national resources are tied up in unproductive assets. A suitable method therefore needs to be devised urgently to unlock such unproductive investments. Making gold loans by banks more attractive or a tax on gold holdings could be considered.

Copyright © 1998 Indian Express Newspapers (Bombay) Ltd.


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