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Wednesday, June 24, 1998

IPE Brent futures to stay healthy 

REUTERS  
LONDON, June 23: IPE Brent and gas oil futures are likely to stay buoyant in the short term but both markets have yet to show signs of reversing from their downtrend, analysts said.

"The market is likely to move higher in the short term," said Steve Kwan, head of technical research at MMS London. "Monday's price action was an aggressive bounce at $12.58 ahead of recent lows at $12.55 which created a double bottom pattern," he said, adding "Monday's price action was also a bullish outside day. The market should trade a bit higher." Using the Japanese candlestick charting techniques, Monday's price action has left bullish engulfing lines on the charts which is a healthy signal.

Kwan assessed near term resistance at $13.49 with the next target seen at $14.00. He added that $14.00 was near $14.28, a further upside resistance, seen on a break out line drawn from $13.13, the low on March 17 and $13.95, the low of May 26.

"$14.00 Would be a tough psychological resistance to break. There would be a short termpull back technically and I would sell at $14.00 and put a stop at $14.28," he said. But Kwan cautioned against calling for a turning point after Monday's healthy gains, saying "It is too early to fall for that." The 20-day moving average measure provides another resistance level at $13.88 and support is still pegged at $13.00.

Gas oil charts were slightly more bullish. The prices early this week has given the market a healthy boost. ``The move saw the market gapping higher and closed above $120 which is a positive signal," said Kwan.

Copyright © 1998 Indian Express Newspapers (Bombay) Ltd.


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